Red Churchills
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (15 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 26
Defender wins (Finnish): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1074 | 41% | 2024-09-30 | Lost |
| 1241 | 768 | 94% | 2024-08-14 | Won |
| 1085 | 1068 | 52% | 2024-03-27 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 856 | 873 | 48% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1128 | 50% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 983 | 1205 | 22% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-04-18 | Won |
| 1076 | 1073 | 50% | 2021-03-01 | Lost |
| 866 | 913 | 43% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1111 | 984 | 68% | 2018-05-01 | Lost |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
| 976 | 1058 | 38% | 2016-09-17 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1089 | 55% | 2016-08-06 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1041 | 56% | 2016-07-02 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1069.7 vs 1022.5 has a 56.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).