Heart of Athena
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (11 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 22
Defender wins (Partisans): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 962 | 881 | 61% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 866 | 937 | 40% | 2020-07-20 | Won |
| 877 | 1072 | 25% | 2019-02-10 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1000 | 60% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
| 949 | 1042 | 37% | 2017-10-05 | Won |
| 1023 | 1102 | 39% | 2017-05-17 | Won |
| 973 | 1072 | 36% | 2016-09-09 | Won |
| 967 | 1110 | 31% | 2016-08-20 | Won |
| 960 | 1005 | 44% | 2016-06-25 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1310 | 34% | 2016-03-20 | Won |
| 940 | 964 | 47% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 979.8 vs 1045 has a 40.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).