Old Friends
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107 (31 on the archive and 76 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 55
Defender wins (German): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1182 | 1120 | 59% | 2026-01-30 | Lost |
| 943 | 943 | 50% | 2024-03-23 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1084 | 42% | 2024-03-08 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1132 | 57% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 999 | 976 | 53% | 2021-05-31 | Won |
| 866 | 928 | 41% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 998 | 1151 | 29% | 2020-02-29 | Lost |
| 976 | 1226 | 19% | 2019-08-22 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1061 | 53% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
| 1020 | 1063 | 44% | 2018-12-20 | Tied |
| 980 | 1141 | 28% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
| 1070 | 897 | 73% | 2018-08-20 | Won |
| 952 | 957 | 49% | 2018-03-17 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1047 | 68% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1420 | 24% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 1027 | 1263 | 20% | 2017-03-29 | Lost |
| 961 | 1042 | 39% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
| 1216 | 971 | 80% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2016-12-29 | Won |
| 1226 | 1137 | 63% | 2016-12-09 | Lost |
| 1126 | 966 | 72% | 2016-09-19 | Won |
| 1079 | 1073 | 51% | 2016-09-01 | Lost |
| 937 | 1217 | 17% | 2016-08-30 | Lost |
| 1099 | 992 | 65% | 2016-08-10 | Won |
| 1099 | 1012 | 62% | 2016-06-27 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2016-06-03 | Won |
| 1146 | 1081 | 59% | 2016-05-03 | Lost |
| 1070 | 986 | 62% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1029 | 54% | 2016-04-28 | Lost |
| 892 | 965 | 40% | 2016-04-07 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1187 | 37% | 2014-01-20 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1066.3 vs 1074.1 has a 48.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).