Old Friends
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 103 (28 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 55
Defender wins (German): 47
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 941 | 941 | 50% | 2024-03-23 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1052 | 48% | 2024-03-08 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1135 | 56% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1021 | 50% | 2021-05-31 | Won |
| 866 | 917 | 43% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1226 | 24% | 2019-08-22 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1063 | 48% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
| 1082 | 1063 | 53% | 2018-12-20 | Tied |
| 980 | 1151 | 27% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
| 1067 | 878 | 75% | 2018-08-20 | Won |
| 997 | 959 | 55% | 2018-03-17 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1193 | 50% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1419 | 38% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 961 | 1057 | 37% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1009 | 77% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2016-12-29 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2016-12-09 | Lost |
| 1110 | 957 | 71% | 2016-09-19 | Won |
| 1204 | 1094 | 65% | 2016-09-01 | Lost |
| 939 | 1217 | 17% | 2016-08-30 | Lost |
| 1194 | 888 | 85% | 2016-08-10 | Won |
| 1099 | 1012 | 62% | 2016-06-27 | Won |
| 1122 | 1054 | 60% | 2016-06-03 | Won |
| 1078 | 1020 | 58% | 2016-05-03 | Lost |
| 1080 | 898 | 74% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1032 | 54% | 2016-04-28 | Lost |
| 893 | 879 | 52% | 2016-04-07 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1137 | 44% | 2014-01-20 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1081.5 vs 1056.5 has a 53.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).