Old Friends
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 101 (26 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 43
Defender wins (German): 57
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2024-03-23 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1087 | 43% | 2024-03-08 | Lost |
| 1012 | 920 | 63% | 2021-05-31 | Won |
| 867 | 880 | 48% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 920 | 1223 | 15% | 2019-08-22 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1063 | 53% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
| 1065 | 1063 | 50% | 2018-12-20 | Tied |
| 1067 | 866 | 76% | 2018-08-20 | Won |
| 1044 | 958 | 62% | 2018-03-17 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1071 | 61% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1044 | 82% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 965 | 1077 | 34% | 2017-03-03 | Lost |
| 1242 | 971 | 83% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2016-12-29 | Won |
| 1223 | 1184 | 56% | 2016-12-09 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1033 | 65% | 2016-09-19 | Won |
| 1055 | 1100 | 44% | 2016-09-01 | Lost |
| 932 | 1216 | 16% | 2016-08-30 | Lost |
| 1114 | 853 | 82% | 2016-08-10 | Won |
| 1100 | 1156 | 42% | 2016-06-27 | Won |
| 1100 | 1043 | 58% | 2016-06-03 | Won |
| 1022 | 1034 | 48% | 2016-05-03 | Lost |
| 1031 | 884 | 70% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1019 | 55% | 2016-04-28 | Lost |
| 897 | 937 | 44% | 2016-04-07 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1184 | 31% | 2014-01-20 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1064.3 vs 1038.7 has a 53.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).