Drama, The Park, and Deadly Things
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (10 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2026-04-23 | Lost |
| 989 | 920 | 60% | 2021-06-10 | Lost |
| 1066 | 947 | 66% | 2020-10-17 | Won |
| 988 | 928 | 59% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 958 | 1263 | 15% | 2019-09-30 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1159 | 1097 | 59% | 2017-02-04 | Won |
| 1070 | 1070 | 50% | 2016-12-29 | Lost |
| 1102 | 884 | 78% | 2016-09-12 | Won |
| 1138 | 1164 | 46% | 2016-06-08 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1058.7 vs 1036.1 has a 53.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).