Drama, The Park, and Deadly Things
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (8 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 920 | 60% | 2021-06-10 | Lost |
| 1066 | 962 | 65% | 2020-10-17 | Won |
| 950 | 931 | 53% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-02-17 | Won |
| 1174 | 1105 | 60% | 2017-02-04 | Won |
| 1138 | 1114 | 53% | 2016-12-29 | Lost |
| 1102 | 903 | 76% | 2016-09-12 | Won |
| 1138 | 1164 | 46% | 2016-06-08 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1080.6 vs 1023.4 has a 58.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).