Ceramic City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (20 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (Polish): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 1122 | 51% | 2025-03-26 | Lost |
| 942 | 942 | 50% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1182 | 37% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1266 | 1016 | 81% | 2024-02-13 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-04-01 | Lost |
| 919 | 1128 | 23% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1241 | 27% | 2019-10-15 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1019 | 50% | 2019-02-23 | Lost |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2019-01-13 | Lost |
| 910 | 1080 | 27% | 2018-08-16 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1118 | 63% | 2017-09-10 | Lost |
| 1157 | 998 | 71% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 993 | 938 | 58% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1241 | 29% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 992 | 1125 | 32% | 2017-02-09 | Lost |
| 974 | 1019 | 44% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1141 | 32% | 2016-10-10 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1047 | 46% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1084 | 44% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1045.4 vs 1060.4 has a 47.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).