Ceramic City
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (20 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 29
Defender wins (Polish): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 1102 | 54% | 2025-03-26 | Lost |
| 911 | 925 | 48% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1182 | 40% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1254 | 1024 | 79% | 2024-02-13 | Won |
| 1203 | 1080 | 67% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2021-04-01 | Lost |
| 919 | 1109 | 25% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1186 | 32% | 2019-10-15 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1018 | 54% | 2019-02-23 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1042 | 74% | 2019-01-13 | Lost |
| 939 | 1035 | 37% | 2018-08-16 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1118 | 64% | 2017-09-10 | Lost |
| 1154 | 972 | 74% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 879 | 939 | 41% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 1084 | 1186 | 36% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 991 | 1089 | 36% | 2017-02-09 | Lost |
| 974 | 1023 | 43% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1137 | 35% | 2016-10-10 | Lost |
| 973 | 1042 | 40% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1028 | 47% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1049.2 vs 1062.1 has a 48.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).