Engineering Defeat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (37 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 54
Defender wins (Polish): 54
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 755 | 984 | 21% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 977 | 993 | 48% | 2025-05-11 | Lost |
| 988 | 964 | 53% | 2024-11-04 | Won |
| 1065 | 1065 | 50% | 2024-05-13 | Won |
| 1001 | 1023 | 47% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
| 900 | 1213 | 14% | 2023-10-24 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1002 | 57% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
| 970 | 950 | 53% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 970 | 950 | 53% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 1035 | 986 | 57% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1120 | 36% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1131 | 35% | 2022-04-05 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 2022-01-15 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1062 | 998 | 59% | 2021-09-01 | Won |
| 1021 | 1132 | 35% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 995 | 1220 | 21% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1159 | 32% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 993 | 1217 | 22% | 2020-07-23 | Lost |
| 884 | 863 | 53% | 2020-06-15 | Lost |
| 989 | 984 | 51% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 1140 | 988 | 71% | 2019-10-07 | Won |
| 998 | 998 | 50% | 2019-05-19 | Won |
| 1043 | 878 | 72% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 1236 | 1121 | 66% | 2019-03-16 | Won |
| 1116 | 1080 | 55% | 2018-10-19 | Won |
| 969 | 995 | 46% | 2017-12-01 | Won |
| 1123 | 973 | 70% | 2017-07-23 | Won |
| 902 | 973 | 40% | 2017-07-16 | Won |
| 1217 | 982 | 79% | 2017-03-13 | Won |
| 1033 | 1029 | 51% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
| 1023 | 984 | 56% | 2016-07-12 | Won |
| 1143 | 1060 | 62% | 2016-06-30 | Lost |
| 1241 | 1023 | 78% | 2016-05-13 | Won |
| 1102 | 884 | 78% | 2012-12-27 | Won |
| 1021 | 1039 | 47% | | Won |
| 1039 | 1017 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1033.6 vs 1029.4 has a 50.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).