Engineering Defeat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 103 (34 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 57
Defender wins (Polish): 45
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 896 | 55% | 2024-11-04 | Won |
| 1084 | 1120 | 45% | 2024-05-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1032 | 45% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
| 922 | 1141 | 22% | 2023-10-24 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1069 | 47% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
| 968 | 951 | 52% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 968 | 951 | 52% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 969 | 1016 | 43% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1110 | 37% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2022-04-05 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1026 | 48% | 2022-01-15 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 945 | 927 | 53% | 2021-09-01 | Won |
| 1042 | 1109 | 40% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 999 | 1282 | 16% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1223 | 29% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 992 | 1219 | 21% | 2020-07-23 | Lost |
| 966 | 862 | 65% | 2020-06-15 | Lost |
| 1025 | 994 | 54% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1082 | 50% | 2019-05-19 | Won |
| 1050 | 878 | 73% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1125 | 60% | 2019-03-16 | Won |
| 1100 | 1075 | 54% | 2018-10-19 | Won |
| 1061 | 910 | 70% | 2017-12-01 | Won |
| 1157 | 1009 | 70% | 2017-07-23 | Won |
| 900 | 1009 | 35% | 2017-07-16 | Won |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2017-03-13 | Won |
| 1032 | 1029 | 50% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
| 1032 | 994 | 55% | 2016-07-12 | Won |
| 1130 | 1058 | 60% | 2016-06-30 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2016-05-13 | Won |
| 899 | 966 | 40% | 2012-12-27 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
| 1117 | 1029 | 62% | | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1037.4 vs 1043 has a 49.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).