Turned Back at Tylicz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (14 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Slovak): 17
Defender wins (Polish): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1024 | 1013 | 52% | 2022-01-22 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1205 | 32% | 2021-09-08 | Lost |
| 904 | 971 | 40% | 2021-08-18 | Won |
| 1084 | 1024 | 59% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1092 | 67% | 2021-02-26 | Lost |
| 1219 | 983 | 80% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 1009 | 938 | 60% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 1195 | 860 | 87% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1028 | 1219 | 25% | 2020-02-21 | Lost |
| 1149 | 860 | 84% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 1157 | 1028 | 68% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1102 | 39% | 2016-05-10 | Lost |
| 966 | 846 | 67% | 2016-04-30 | Lost |
| 985 | 1050 | 41% | 2016-03-31 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1073.8 vs 1013.6 has a 58.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).