Turned Back at Tylicz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (16 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Slovak): 5
Defender wins (Polish): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 2022-01-22 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1189 | 32% | 2021-09-08 | Lost |
| 904 | 971 | 40% | 2021-08-18 | Won |
| 1028 | 1010 | 53% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1092 | 69% | 2021-02-26 | Lost |
| 1217 | 993 | 78% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 1014 | 1013 | 50% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1135 | 36% | 2020-04-01 | Lost |
| 1113 | 978 | 69% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1047 | 1217 | 27% | 2020-02-21 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1135 | 36% | 2019-04-01 | Lost |
| 1226 | 978 | 81% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 1154 | 972 | 74% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1124 | 43% | 2016-05-10 | Lost |
| 905 | 844 | 59% | 2016-04-30 | Lost |
| 985 | 1035 | 43% | 2016-03-31 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1069.4 vs 1055.6 has a 52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).