Turned Back at Tylicz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (16 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Slovak): 17
Defender wins (Polish): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2022-01-22 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1196 | 31% | 2021-09-08 | Lost |
| 904 | 971 | 40% | 2021-08-18 | Won |
| 1079 | 1036 | 56% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1091 | 69% | 2021-02-26 | Lost |
| 1219 | 993 | 79% | 2020-10-26 | Won |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1135 | 36% | 2020-04-01 | Lost |
| 1143 | 954 | 75% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1029 | 1219 | 25% | 2020-02-21 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1135 | 36% | 2019-04-01 | Lost |
| 1158 | 954 | 76% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 1127 | 1025 | 64% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1109 | 43% | 2016-05-10 | Lost |
| 998 | 845 | 71% | 2016-04-30 | Lost |
| 985 | 1052 | 40% | 2016-03-31 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1069.4 vs 1048.3 has a 53.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).