Silent Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (25 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 35
Defender wins (Slovakian): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1333 | 1333 | 50% | 2025-09-18 | Won |
| 1014 | 1176 | 28% | 2023-12-18 | Won |
| 1168 | 1256 | 38% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 951 | 1109 | 29% | 2022-03-02 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1014 | 61% | 2022-02-01 | Won |
| 1153 | 1056 | 64% | 2021-12-16 | Lost |
| 864 | 913 | 43% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1135 | 1036 | 64% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1084 | 54% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 982 | 65% | 2019-05-20 | Lost |
| 1133 | 938 | 75% | 2019-03-08 | Won |
| 1176 | 951 | 79% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 938 | 1256 | 14% | 2018-05-14 | Lost |
| 953 | 1221 | 18% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 973 | 1171 | 24% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1074 | 49% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
| 973 | 1171 | 24% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 973 | 1171 | 24% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 1028 | 963 | 59% | 2016-11-20 | Won |
| 1028 | 1031 | 50% | 2016-07-25 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1123 | 50% | 2016-06-11 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1089 | 46% | 2016-06-11 | Won |
| 1054 | 1068 | 48% | 2016-06-11 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1226 | 37% | 2016-03-26 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1090 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1065.2 vs 1100.1 has a 44.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).