Silent Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (25 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 35
Defender wins (Slovakian): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1333 | 1333 | 50% | 2025-09-18 | Won |
| 1048 | 1196 | 30% | 2023-12-18 | Won |
| 1168 | 1275 | 35% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1117 | 51% | 2022-03-02 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1203 | 34% | 2022-02-01 | Won |
| 1202 | 1050 | 71% | 2021-12-16 | Lost |
| 864 | 885 | 47% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1135 | 1036 | 64% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1113 | 53% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 982 | 65% | 2019-05-20 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1043 | 63% | 2019-03-08 | Won |
| 1196 | 1126 | 60% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 938 | 1275 | 13% | 2018-05-14 | Lost |
| 953 | 1217 | 18% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 948 | 1167 | 22% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1075 | 49% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
| 948 | 1167 | 22% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 948 | 1167 | 22% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1009 | 49% | 2016-11-20 | Won |
| 1003 | 1031 | 46% | 2016-07-25 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1174 | 43% | 2016-06-11 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1089 | 46% | 2016-06-11 | Won |
| 1054 | 1068 | 48% | 2016-06-11 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2016-03-26 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1090 | 54% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1072.6 vs 1124.6 has a 42.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).