Silent Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (23 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 18
Defender wins (Slovakian): 44
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2023-12-18 | Won |
| 1167 | 1209 | 44% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2022-03-02 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1014 | 52% | 2022-02-01 | Won |
| 1223 | 1064 | 71% | 2021-12-16 | Lost |
| 862 | 966 | 35% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1116 | 1029 | 62% | 2020-03-28 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1067 | 52% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 982 | 65% | 2019-05-20 | Lost |
| 1132 | 945 | 75% | 2019-03-08 | Won |
| 1147 | 1032 | 66% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 938 | 1209 | 17% | 2018-05-14 | Lost |
| 971 | 1219 | 19% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1157 | 30% | 2017-10-01 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1075 | 49% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1157 | 30% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1157 | 30% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1002 | 52% | 2016-11-20 | Won |
| 1014 | 1032 | 47% | 2016-07-25 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1026 | 51% | 2016-06-11 | Won |
| 1115 | 1133 | 47% | 2016-06-11 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1223 | 38% | 2016-03-26 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1057 vs 1094.5 has a 44.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).