Old Friends
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (9 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Polish): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2025-11-06 | Tied |
| 1029 | 1113 | 38% | 2022-12-31 | Won |
| 863 | 885 | 47% | 2020-12-14 | Won |
| 879 | 945 | 41% | 2019-01-26 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1052 | 50% | 2018-07-03 | Won |
| 1123 | 986 | 69% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 1217 | 1139 | 61% | 2018-05-03 | Won |
| 945 | 1216 | 17% | 2017-07-15 | Lost |
| 987 | 1226 | 20% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1014.4 vs 1066.3 has a 42.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).