Old Friends
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (9 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Polish): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2025-11-06 | Tied |
| 1051 | 1176 | 33% | 2022-12-31 | Won |
| 863 | 934 | 40% | 2020-12-14 | Won |
| 879 | 1004 | 33% | 2019-01-26 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1049 | 50% | 2018-07-03 | Won |
| 1113 | 993 | 67% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 1218 | 1145 | 60% | 2018-05-03 | Won |
| 1004 | 1216 | 23% | 2017-07-15 | Lost |
| 987 | 1226 | 20% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1021.8 vs 1086.4 has a 40.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).