Old Friends
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (9 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Polish): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-11-06 | | Tied |
| 1030 | 1125 | 37% | 2022-12-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2020-12-14 | | Won |
| 889 | 1000 | 35% | 2019-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-07-03 | | Won |
| 1123 | 975 | 70% | 2018-06-24 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1000 | 78% | 2018-05-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1222 | 22% | 2017-07-15 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1226 | 20% | 2016-07-30 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1040.4 vs 1057.1 has a 47.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).