Old Friends
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Polish): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 863 | 937 | 40% | 2020-12-14 | Won |
| 881 | 1071 | 25% | 2019-01-26 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1053 | 51% | 2018-07-03 | Won |
| 1140 | 1050 | 63% | 2018-06-24 | Won |
| 1216 | 1133 | 62% | 2018-05-03 | Won |
| 1071 | 1242 | 27% | 2017-07-15 | Lost |
| 987 | 1223 | 20% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1030.9 vs 1101.3 has a 40% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).