Give 'em Some Flak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (9 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Polish): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1188 | 939 | 81% | 2025-12-08 | Won |
| 1050 | 1203 | 29% | 2024-05-10 | Won |
| 879 | 864 | 52% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 993 | 1217 | 22% | 2020-08-10 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1217 | 46% | 2019-07-14 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1217 | 48% | 2019-07-12 | Lost |
| 1174 | 930 | 80% | 2018-12-13 | Won |
| 1016 | 879 | 69% | 2013-02-02 | Won |
| 879 | 1016 | 31% | 2012-01-03 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1063.7 vs 1053.6 has a 51.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).