Steel Garden
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (13 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Polish): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1193 | 31% | 2025-08-30 | Lost |
| 1099 | 896 | 76% | 2024-12-15 | Won |
| 1188 | 1256 | 40% | 2022-06-20 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1039 | 48% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 1043 | 1014 | 54% | 2020-10-09 | Won |
| 1030 | 1219 | 25% | 2020-03-04 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1011 | 67% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 1133 | 1011 | 67% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 1009 | 1215 | 23% | 2018-05-13 | Lost |
| 1182 | 932 | 81% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 960 | 1193 | 21% | 2016-06-24 | Lost |
| 969 | 937 | 55% | 2016-06-23 | Won |
| 1127 | 1121 | 51% | 2014-03-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1073.5 vs 1079.8 has a 49.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).