Steel Garden
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (13 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Polish): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 1184 | 32% | 2025-08-30 | Lost |
| 1066 | 909 | 71% | 2024-12-15 | Won |
| 1269 | 1232 | 55% | 2022-06-20 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1046 | 53% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 1018 | 1014 | 51% | 2020-10-09 | Won |
| 1018 | 1217 | 24% | 2020-03-04 | Lost |
| 1164 | 947 | 78% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 1164 | 947 | 78% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 994 | 1216 | 22% | 2018-05-13 | Lost |
| 1186 | 932 | 81% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 969 | 1184 | 22% | 2016-06-24 | Lost |
| 969 | 1075 | 35% | 2016-06-23 | Won |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 2014-03-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1084 vs 1082.5 has a 50.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).