Steel Garden
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (12 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Polish): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 891 | 75% | 2024-12-15 | Won |
| 1311 | 1197 | 66% | 2022-06-20 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1084 | 44% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 890 | 1009 | 34% | 2020-10-09 | Won |
| 980 | 1216 | 20% | 2020-03-04 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1050 | 64% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 1153 | 1050 | 64% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 915 | 1242 | 13% | 2018-05-13 | Lost |
| 1177 | 932 | 80% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 963 | 1135 | 27% | 2016-06-24 | Lost |
| 969 | 996 | 46% | 2016-06-23 | Won |
| 1128 | 1142 | 48% | 2014-03-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1063.5 vs 1078.7 has a 47.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).