Steel Garden
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (12 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Polish): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 890 | 75% | 2024-12-15 | Won |
| 1281 | 1193 | 62% | 2022-06-20 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1084 | 42% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 927 | 1009 | 38% | 2020-10-09 | Won |
| 1029 | 1219 | 25% | 2020-03-04 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1009 | 70% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 1157 | 1009 | 70% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 924 | 1216 | 16% | 2018-05-13 | Lost |
| 1178 | 932 | 80% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 975 | 1217 | 20% | 2016-06-24 | Lost |
| 969 | 957 | 52% | 2016-06-23 | Won |
| 1133 | 1142 | 49% | 2014-03-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1069.8 vs 1073.1 has a 49.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).