Hell at Kiernozia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (4 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1139 | 972 | 72% | 2019-07-28 | Won |
| 1157 | 1252 | 37% | 2016-06-10 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1031 | 52% | 2015-07-22 | Won |
| 1045 | 1014 | 54% | 2015-07-11 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1096.5 vs 1067.3 has a 54.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).