Iron Greeting
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 105 (31 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 66
Defender wins (Russian): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2025-11-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 873 | 68% | 2024-01-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2023-07-13 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2022-03-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 2021-09-06 | | Won |
| 1004 | 1045 | 44% | 2021-06-18 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-12-18 | | Won |
| 932 | 843 | 63% | 2020-06-12 | | Won |
| 952 | 1147 | 25% | 2019-12-15 | | Won |
| 1230 | 1015 | 78% | 2019-10-06 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2019-09-29 | | Won |
| 913 | 1004 | 37% | 2019-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2018-10-22 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1133 | 27% | 2018-10-19 | | Lost |
| 1230 | 1015 | 78% | 2018-10-03 | | Won |
| 1038 | 1050 | 48% | 2017-12-26 | | Won |
| 981 | 1017 | 45% | 2017-09-09 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 989 | 72% | 2017-06-23 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2017-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 972 | 80% | 2017-01-16 | | Won |
| 1435 | 1078 | 89% | 2016-09-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2016-09-03 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2016-08-10 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1034 | 59% | 2016-07-29 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1013 | 67% | 2016-07-29 | | Won |
| 972 | 1059 | 38% | 2016-07-09 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2016-06-25 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1143 | 38% | 2016-06-13 | | Won |
| 1230 | 1289 | 42% | 2016-03-29 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2016-03-16 | | Won |
| 891 | 1145 | 19% | 2016-03-01 | | Won |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1076.7 vs 1047.9 has a 54.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).