Iron Greeting
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 101 (29 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 64
Defender wins (Russian): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 886 | 60% | 2024-01-30 | Won |
| 1106 | 1228 | 33% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1035 | 50% | 2022-03-08 | Won |
| 1098 | 1006 | 63% | 2021-09-06 | Won |
| 1008 | 1052 | 44% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2020-12-18 | Won |
| 935 | 864 | 60% | 2020-06-12 | Won |
| 1027 | 1128 | 36% | 2019-12-15 | Won |
| 1146 | 1008 | 69% | 2019-10-06 | Won |
| 1115 | 1115 | 50% | 2019-09-29 | Won |
| 914 | 1064 | 30% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1052 | 56% | 2018-10-22 | Lost |
| 969 | 1060 | 37% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1008 | 69% | 2018-10-03 | Won |
| 1037 | 1061 | 47% | 2017-12-26 | Won |
| 909 | 1017 | 35% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
| 1196 | 989 | 77% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 1033 | 1010 | 53% | 2017-02-17 | Lost |
| 1219 | 877 | 88% | 2017-01-16 | Won |
| 1413 | 1026 | 90% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
| 1250 | 1269 | 47% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1143 | 1027 | 66% | 2016-08-10 | Won |
| 965 | 1025 | 41% | 2016-07-29 | Won |
| 1269 | 1012 | 81% | 2016-07-29 | Won |
| 974 | 1036 | 41% | 2016-07-09 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1101 | 44% | 2016-06-13 | Won |
| 1146 | 1220 | 40% | 2016-03-29 | Won |
| 1329 | 1096 | 79% | 2016-03-16 | Won |
| 890 | 1109 | 22% | 2016-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1083.6 vs 1049.3 has a 54.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).