Iron Greeting
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 103 (30 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 64
Defender wins (Russian): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 976 | 971 | 51% | 2025-11-03 | Lost |
| 953 | 869 | 62% | 2024-01-30 | Won |
| 1106 | 1228 | 33% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1032 | 51% | 2022-03-08 | Won |
| 1019 | 1007 | 52% | 2021-09-06 | Won |
| 1006 | 1029 | 47% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1006 | 51% | 2020-12-18 | Won |
| 966 | 844 | 67% | 2020-06-12 | Won |
| 972 | 1164 | 25% | 2019-12-15 | Won |
| 1143 | 1027 | 66% | 2019-10-06 | Won |
| 1174 | 1143 | 54% | 2019-09-29 | Won |
| 913 | 1059 | 30% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1052 | 58% | 2018-10-22 | Lost |
| 969 | 1100 | 32% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1027 | 66% | 2018-10-03 | Won |
| 1037 | 1053 | 48% | 2017-12-26 | Won |
| 950 | 1017 | 40% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
| 1204 | 989 | 78% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 1027 | 1037 | 49% | 2017-02-17 | Lost |
| 1217 | 918 | 85% | 2017-01-16 | Won |
| 1419 | 1038 | 90% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
| 1249 | 1194 | 58% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1113 | 936 | 73% | 2016-08-10 | Won |
| 936 | 1025 | 37% | 2016-07-29 | Won |
| 1194 | 1012 | 74% | 2016-07-29 | Won |
| 974 | 1031 | 42% | 2016-07-09 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1138 | 39% | 2016-06-13 | Won |
| 1143 | 1253 | 35% | 2016-03-29 | Won |
| 1340 | 1090 | 81% | 2016-03-16 | Won |
| 890 | 1124 | 21% | 2016-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1075 vs 1047.1 has a 54.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).