Iron Greeting
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 103 (30 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 64
Defender wins (Russian): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 971 | 53% | 2025-11-03 | Lost |
| 953 | 869 | 62% | 2024-01-30 | Won |
| 1106 | 1228 | 33% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-03-08 | Won |
| 1019 | 1020 | 50% | 2021-09-06 | Won |
| 1006 | 1024 | 47% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
| 982 | 982 | 50% | 2020-12-18 | Won |
| 967 | 845 | 67% | 2020-06-12 | Won |
| 995 | 1116 | 33% | 2019-12-15 | Won |
| 1186 | 1028 | 71% | 2019-10-06 | Won |
| 1173 | 1126 | 57% | 2019-09-29 | Won |
| 913 | 1041 | 32% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1038 | 60% | 2018-10-22 | Lost |
| 969 | 1117 | 30% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1028 | 71% | 2018-10-03 | Won |
| 1038 | 1065 | 46% | 2017-12-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
| 1204 | 989 | 78% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 995 | 1054 | 42% | 2017-02-17 | Lost |
| 1217 | 918 | 85% | 2017-01-16 | Won |
| 1423 | 1045 | 90% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
| 1250 | 1180 | 60% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
| 1144 | 980 | 72% | 2016-08-10 | Won |
| 992 | 1025 | 45% | 2016-07-29 | Won |
| 1180 | 1012 | 72% | 2016-07-29 | Won |
| 974 | 1045 | 40% | 2016-07-09 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1143 | 38% | 2016-06-13 | Won |
| 1186 | 1256 | 40% | 2016-03-29 | Won |
| 1253 | 1157 | 63% | 2016-03-16 | Won |
| 891 | 1125 | 21% | 2016-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1080.3 vs 1049.8 has a 54.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).