The Commissar's Folly
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (10 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (Polish): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
925 | 904 | 53% | 2023-10-02 | Lost |
1067 | 1020 | 57% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
1231 | 1314 | 38% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
899 | 942 | 44% | 2020-08-09 | Lost |
1204 | 942 | 82% | 2020-08-09 | Lost |
924 | 983 | 42% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
959 | 996 | 45% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
1063 | 958 | 65% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
1033 | 1063 | 46% | 2016-09-08 | Lost |
1028 | 996 | 55% | 2016-07-23 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1033.3 vs 1011.8 has a 53.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).