The Commissar's Folly
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (11 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (Polish): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 1000 | 71% | 2023-10-02 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1019 | 55% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1316 | 38% | 2021-01-20 | Lost |
| 900 | 1009 | 35% | 2020-08-09 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1009 | 70% | 2020-08-09 | Lost |
| 924 | 983 | 42% | 2020-04-05 | Lost |
| 942 | 884 | 58% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
| 1014 | 984 | 54% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1032 | 1014 | 53% | 2016-09-08 | Lost |
| 1050 | 884 | 72% | 2016-07-23 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1110 | 36% | 2016-03-06 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1042.9 vs 1019.3 has a 53.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).