Tigers and Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2025-10-31 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2024-11-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2024-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1077 | 50% | 2022-01-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 967 | 55% | 2020-09-01 | | Won |
| 1013 | 1035 | 47% | 2017-07-11 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 1035 | 47% | 2017-04-18 | | Won |
| 1143 | 1088 | 58% | 2017-04-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2017-03-30 | | Won |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2016-11-21 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1063 | 50% | 2016-10-01 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1218 | 29% | 2016-09-23 | | Won |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2016-09-21 | | Won |
| 1028 | 893 | 69% | 2016-08-19 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1078 | 69% | 2016-06-04 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2016-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2016-04-03 | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1058 vs 1055.4 has a 50.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).