Tigers and Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (16 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 41
Defender wins (German): 47
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1055 | 59% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1055 | 1117 | 41% | 2024-11-10 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1065 | 51% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 917 | 967 | 43% | 2020-09-01 | Won |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2017-07-11 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1100 | 1042 | 58% | 2017-04-16 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1009 | 73% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2016-11-21 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1050 | 56% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1058 | 1219 | 28% | 2016-09-23 | Won |
| 1195 | 842 | 88% | 2016-09-21 | Won |
| 988 | 890 | 64% | 2016-08-19 | Won |
| 1302 | 1044 | 82% | 2016-06-04 | Won |
| 1045 | 1110 | 41% | 2016-05-31 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1082.3 vs 1046.4 has a 55.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).