Tigers and Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (17 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 54
Defender wins (German): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 956 | 53% | 2025-10-31 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1055 | 58% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1055 | 1112 | 42% | 2024-11-10 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1065 | 51% | 2022-01-04 | Won |
| 920 | 967 | 43% | 2020-09-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2017-07-11 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1078 | 1028 | 57% | 2017-04-16 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1024 | 69% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 971 | 1153 | 26% | 2016-11-21 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1051 | 57% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1058 | 1220 | 28% | 2016-09-23 | Won |
| 1183 | 823 | 89% | 2016-09-21 | Won |
| 1057 | 892 | 72% | 2016-08-19 | Won |
| 1333 | 1026 | 85% | 2016-06-04 | Won |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2016-05-31 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1076.6 vs 1048.2 has a 54.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).