The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (32 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 37
Defender wins (American): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1110 | 51% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1138 | 38% | 2025-01-07 | Lost |
| 924 | 864 | 59% | 2025-01-03 | Won |
| 883 | 935 | 43% | 2024-02-29 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1059 | 46% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
| 880 | 1013 | 32% | 2023-10-10 | Lost |
| 927 | 940 | 48% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
| 959 | 1059 | 36% | 2023-02-18 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1035 | 53% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 1425 | 1431 | 49% | 2022-11-18 | Lost |
| 1010 | 957 | 58% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1431 | 925 | 95% | 2022-02-01 | Won |
| 1024 | 1010 | 52% | 2022-01-31 | Lost |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2022-01-29 | Lost |
| 878 | 1061 | 26% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1203 | 25% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1010 | 75% | 2022-01-05 | Won |
| 1008 | 1050 | 44% | 2021-09-25 | Lost |
| 888 | 966 | 39% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1011 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 927 | 928 | 50% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1011 | 1043 | 45% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 927 | 1045 | 34% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
| 1138 | 865 | 83% | 2019-03-05 | Won |
| 1195 | 1035 | 72% | 2018-09-20 | Won |
| 1310 | 1095 | 78% | 2018-03-19 | Won |
| 1050 | 907 | 69% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1223 | 22% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1023 | 59% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
| 859 | 982 | 33% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 880 | 982 | 36% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1035.5 vs 1026.4 has a 51.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).