The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (33 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (American): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1050 | 51% | 2025-05-09 | Won |
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1189 | 37% | 2025-01-07 | Lost |
| 935 | 864 | 60% | 2025-01-03 | Won |
| 848 | 936 | 38% | 2024-02-29 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1055 | 51% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
| 852 | 1021 | 27% | 2023-10-10 | Lost |
| 896 | 939 | 44% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
| 959 | 1055 | 37% | 2023-02-18 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1035 | 53% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 1425 | 1431 | 49% | 2022-11-18 | Lost |
| 996 | 956 | 56% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1431 | 925 | 95% | 2022-02-01 | Won |
| 1013 | 996 | 52% | 2022-01-31 | Lost |
| 971 | 892 | 61% | 2022-01-29 | Lost |
| 878 | 1062 | 26% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 996 | 1252 | 19% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1252 | 996 | 81% | 2022-01-05 | Won |
| 1008 | 1075 | 40% | 2021-09-25 | Lost |
| 888 | 998 | 35% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1003 | 1002 | 50% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 896 | 908 | 48% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 979 | 1023 | 44% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 896 | 1045 | 30% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1092 | 64% | 2019-03-05 | Won |
| 1193 | 1035 | 71% | 2018-09-20 | Won |
| 1264 | 1095 | 73% | 2018-03-19 | Won |
| 1075 | 910 | 72% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1223 | 22% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1060 | 56% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
| 859 | 982 | 33% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 880 | 982 | 36% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1034.2 vs 1038 has a 49.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).