The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (29 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (American): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
961 | 966 | 49% | 2024-02-29 | Lost |
998 | 998 | 50% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
881 | 1013 | 32% | 2023-10-10 | Lost |
1013 | 1040 | 46% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
959 | 998 | 44% | 2023-02-18 | Lost |
998 | 1035 | 45% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
1425 | 1429 | 49% | 2022-11-18 | Lost |
937 | 1072 | 31% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
1036 | 1036 | 50% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
1429 | 925 | 95% | 2022-02-01 | Won |
1005 | 937 | 60% | 2022-01-31 | Lost |
919 | 892 | 54% | 2022-01-29 | Lost |
878 | 1057 | 26% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
937 | 1175 | 20% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
1175 | 937 | 80% | 2022-01-05 | Won |
967 | 1087 | 33% | 2021-09-25 | Lost |
889 | 959 | 40% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
1027 | 987 | 56% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
1058 | 1041 | 52% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
1013 | 1040 | 46% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
904 | 993 | 37% | 2019-03-05 | Won |
1104 | 1037 | 60% | 2018-09-20 | Won |
1327 | 1108 | 78% | 2018-03-19 | Won |
1087 | 1028 | 58% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
1007 | 1225 | 22% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
1082 | 1008 | 60% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
862 | 980 | 34% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
883 | 980 | 36% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1026.7 vs 1034.3 has a 48.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).