The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (29 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 35
Defender wins (American): 35
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 905 | 936 | 46% | 2024-02-29 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1046 | 50% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
| 880 | 1013 | 32% | 2023-10-10 | Lost |
| 930 | 965 | 45% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
| 959 | 1046 | 38% | 2023-02-18 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1035 | 52% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 1425 | 1431 | 49% | 2022-11-18 | Lost |
| 990 | 1069 | 39% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1431 | 925 | 95% | 2022-02-01 | Won |
| 1011 | 990 | 53% | 2022-01-31 | Lost |
| 917 | 892 | 54% | 2022-01-29 | Lost |
| 877 | 1048 | 27% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 990 | 1259 | 18% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1259 | 990 | 82% | 2022-01-05 | Won |
| 997 | 1084 | 38% | 2021-09-25 | Lost |
| 887 | 955 | 40% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1005 | 933 | 60% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 930 | 930 | 50% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 977 | 1053 | 39% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 930 | 1043 | 34% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
| 1133 | 937 | 76% | 2019-03-05 | Won |
| 1128 | 1034 | 63% | 2018-09-20 | Won |
| 1260 | 1095 | 72% | 2018-03-19 | Won |
| 1084 | 1142 | 42% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1223 | 22% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
| 1089 | 982 | 65% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
| 859 | 981 | 33% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 880 | 981 | 36% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1030.3 vs 1036.8 has a 49.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).