Zon with the Wind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (56 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 58
Defender wins (German): 61
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 900 | 900 | 50% | 2024-12-02 | Won |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2024-04-10 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1063 | 49% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
| 1080 | 972 | 65% | 2024-01-21 | Won |
| 1116 | 1152 | 45% | 2024-01-18 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-10-29 | Won |
| 1021 | 883 | 69% | 2023-05-19 | Won |
| 981 | 1063 | 38% | 2023-04-21 | Won |
| 1082 | 952 | 68% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1193 | 27% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
| 968 | 1016 | 43% | 2022-09-14 | Lost |
| 1050 | 959 | 63% | 2022-08-25 | Won |
| 946 | 1224 | 17% | 2022-07-31 | Lost |
| 968 | 1031 | 41% | 2022-07-28 | Won |
| 1061 | 1148 | 38% | 2022-05-16 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1017 | 57% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1069 | 45% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 925 | 1018 | 37% | 2022-04-14 | Won |
| 1431 | 1018 | 92% | 2022-04-13 | Won |
| 928 | 896 | 55% | 2022-03-21 | Lost |
| 1025 | 945 | 61% | 2022-01-22 | Lost |
| 892 | 896 | 49% | 2022-01-09 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1137 | 50% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 1141 | 1016 | 67% | 2021-10-08 | Won |
| 966 | 897 | 60% | 2021-07-27 | Won |
| 864 | 924 | 41% | 2021-05-26 | Lost |
| 967 | 1282 | 14% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
| 924 | 931 | 49% | 2021-03-19 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1165 | 32% | 2021-02-17 | Won |
| 952 | 1137 | 26% | 2020-06-16 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1040 | 45% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1193 | 30% | 2020-03-25 | Won |
| 864 | 924 | 41% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1050 | 997 | 58% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
| 916 | 1152 | 20% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1137 | 896 | 80% | 2019-06-09 | Lost |
| 983 | 1050 | 40% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 896 | 910 | 48% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 1003 | 910 | 63% | 2019-02-03 | Lost |
| 877 | 1032 | 29% | 2018-11-11 | Lost |
| 1050 | 936 | 66% | 2018-09-08 | Won |
| 1219 | 1035 | 74% | 2018-08-13 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1029 | 62% | 2018-05-10 | Lost |
| 973 | 981 | 49% | 2018-02-26 | Won |
| 978 | 896 | 62% | 2017-11-09 | Lost |
| 971 | 1032 | 41% | 2017-11-04 | Lost |
| 971 | 1032 | 41% | 2017-11-04 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1219 | 51% | 2017-05-11 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1219 | 41% | 2017-05-10 | Lost |
| 1032 | 973 | 58% | 2017-04-25 | Lost |
| 869 | 990 | 33% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 867 | 877 | 49% | 2017-01-21 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-01-01 | Won |
| 877 | 1032 | 29% | 2016-10-09 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1110 | 47% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1020.4 vs 1033.9 has a 48.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).