Zon with the Wind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 118 (54 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 57
Defender wins (German): 60
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 914 | 914 | 50% | 2024-12-02 | Won |
| 1055 | 952 | 64% | 2024-04-10 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1063 | 50% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
| 1080 | 972 | 65% | 2024-01-21 | Won |
| 1116 | 1134 | 47% | 2024-01-18 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2023-10-29 | Won |
| 1009 | 1025 | 48% | 2023-04-21 | Won |
| 1083 | 952 | 68% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1193 | 26% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
| 969 | 1007 | 45% | 2022-09-14 | Lost |
| 1058 | 959 | 64% | 2022-08-25 | Won |
| 948 | 1204 | 19% | 2022-07-31 | Lost |
| 969 | 1031 | 41% | 2022-07-28 | Won |
| 1048 | 1147 | 36% | 2022-05-16 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1017 | 55% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1050 | 48% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 925 | 1018 | 37% | 2022-04-14 | Won |
| 1431 | 1018 | 92% | 2022-04-13 | Won |
| 885 | 907 | 47% | 2022-03-21 | Lost |
| 977 | 1056 | 39% | 2022-01-22 | Lost |
| 905 | 907 | 50% | 2022-01-09 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1137 | 50% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 1184 | 1016 | 72% | 2021-10-08 | Won |
| 937 | 897 | 56% | 2021-07-27 | Won |
| 837 | 960 | 33% | 2021-05-26 | Lost |
| 947 | 1275 | 13% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
| 960 | 931 | 54% | 2021-03-19 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1159 | 33% | 2021-02-17 | Won |
| 952 | 1139 | 25% | 2020-06-16 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1024 | 47% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1193 | 30% | 2020-03-25 | Won |
| 837 | 960 | 33% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1058 | 996 | 59% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
| 916 | 1142 | 21% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1138 | 907 | 79% | 2019-06-09 | Lost |
| 980 | 1058 | 39% | 2019-06-08 | Lost |
| 907 | 953 | 43% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 1003 | 911 | 63% | 2019-02-03 | Lost |
| 881 | 1071 | 25% | 2018-11-11 | Lost |
| 1058 | 934 | 67% | 2018-09-08 | Won |
| 1114 | 1034 | 61% | 2018-08-13 | Lost |
| 972 | 981 | 49% | 2018-02-26 | Won |
| 978 | 907 | 60% | 2017-11-09 | Lost |
| 917 | 1071 | 29% | 2017-11-04 | Lost |
| 917 | 1071 | 29% | 2017-11-04 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1216 | 28% | 2017-05-11 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1216 | 47% | 2017-05-10 | Lost |
| 1071 | 975 | 63% | 2017-04-25 | Lost |
| 853 | 978 | 33% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 870 | 881 | 48% | 2017-01-21 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1007 | 78% | 2017-01-01 | Won |
| 881 | 1071 | 25% | 2016-10-09 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1100 | 46% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1011.4 vs 1042 has a 45.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).