Broich Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (18 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (German): 31
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1081 | 46% | 2026-02-28 | Won |
| 879 | 1002 | 33% | 2023-11-01 | Lost |
| 986 | 1057 | 40% | 2023-09-10 | Lost |
| 1342 | 850 | 94% | 2022-10-30 | Won |
| 928 | 862 | 59% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 1260 | 980 | 83% | 2021-04-05 | Won |
| 1256 | 1023 | 79% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1177 | 1109 | 60% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1008 | 1216 | 23% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1024 | 987 | 55% | 2018-05-19 | Won |
| 980 | 1144 | 28% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 1144 | 980 | 72% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 932 | 1217 | 16% | 2017-11-28 | Lost |
| 975 | 1079 | 35% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 975 | 1079 | 35% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 975 | 1024 | 43% | 2017-01-26 | Lost |
| 879 | 980 | 36% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1252 | 20% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1043.7 vs 1051.2 has a 48.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).