Broich Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 780 | 938 | 29% | 2026-10-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1182 | 26% | 2026-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1136 | 35% | 2026-02-28 | | Won |
| 841 | 999 | 29% | 2023-11-01 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1085 | 34% | 2023-09-10 | A | Lost |
| 1348 | 851 | 95% | 2022-10-30 | | Won |
| 921 | 1000 | 39% | 2021-07-17 | | Lost |
| 1284 | 1101 | 74% | 2020-05-12 | | Won |
| 1152 | 1100 | 57% | 2020-05-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1216 | 22% | 2019-06-08 | | Won |
| 1033 | 987 | 57% | 2018-05-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2018-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2017-11-28 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1134 | 31% | 2017-11-18 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1134 | 31% | 2017-11-18 | | Lost |
| 986 | 1033 | 43% | 2017-01-26 | | Lost |
| 892 | 1000 | 35% | 2016-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1219 | 24% | 2016-09-24 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1015.7 vs 1073.5 has a 41.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).