Broich Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German): 10
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1126 | 38% | 2026-02-28 | | Won |
| 841 | 999 | 29% | 2023-11-01 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1052 | 41% | 2023-09-10 | A | Lost |
| 1347 | 850 | 95% | 2022-10-30 | | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2021-07-17 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2021-04-05 | | Won |
| 1243 | 1156 | 62% | 2020-05-12 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1100 | 58% | 2020-05-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1216 | 22% | 2019-06-08 | | Won |
| 1055 | 987 | 60% | 2018-05-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2018-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2018-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2017-11-28 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1085 | 37% | 2017-11-18 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1085 | 37% | 2017-11-18 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1055 | 40% | 2017-01-26 | | Lost |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2016-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1219 | 24% | 2016-09-24 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1044.7 vs 1069.2 has a 46.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).