Broich Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (17 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (German): 30
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 889 | 1051 | 28% | 2023-11-01 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2023-09-10 | Lost |
| 1285 | 852 | 92% | 2022-10-30 | Won |
| 993 | 864 | 68% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1141 | 57% | 2021-04-05 | Won |
| 1264 | 1017 | 81% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1241 | 1107 | 68% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1003 | 1209 | 23% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1080 | 986 | 63% | 2018-05-19 | Won |
| 1141 | 1132 | 51% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1141 | 49% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 932 | 1219 | 16% | 2017-11-28 | Lost |
| 869 | 1199 | 13% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 869 | 1199 | 13% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 910 | 1080 | 27% | 2017-01-26 | Lost |
| 877 | 1141 | 18% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1310 | 15% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1041.5 vs 1098.2 has a 41.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).