Broich Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (17 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (German): 30
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 941 | 974 | 45% | 2023-11-01 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1011 | 53% | 2023-09-10 | Lost |
| 1279 | 851 | 92% | 2022-10-30 | Won |
| 951 | 864 | 62% | 2021-07-17 | Lost |
| 1181 | 932 | 81% | 2021-04-05 | Won |
| 1190 | 944 | 80% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1099 | 1107 | 49% | 2020-05-12 | Won |
| 1006 | 1211 | 24% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1087 | 986 | 64% | 2018-05-19 | Won |
| 932 | 1205 | 17% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 1205 | 932 | 83% | 2018-05-07 | Lost |
| 932 | 1216 | 16% | 2017-11-28 | Lost |
| 880 | 1109 | 21% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 880 | 1109 | 21% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 953 | 1087 | 32% | 2017-01-26 | Lost |
| 879 | 932 | 42% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1311 | 15% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1025.6 vs 1045.9 has a 47.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).