March on Marche
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (11 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (French): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1269 | 1282 | 48% | 2024-03-08 | Lost |
| 1048 | 767 | 83% | 2022-01-14 | Won |
| 1219 | 1029 | 75% | 2021-02-22 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2017-04-21 | Won |
| 1005 | 897 | 65% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
| 1128 | 970 | 71% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1028 | 53% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 1152 | 920 | 79% | 2016-10-03 | Lost |
| 1269 | 1146 | 67% | 2016-09-28 | Lost |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1103.7 vs 1005.8 has a 63.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).