March on Marche
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (11 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (French): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1180 | 1253 | 40% | 2024-03-08 | Lost |
| 982 | 780 | 76% | 2022-01-14 | Won |
| 1217 | 1018 | 76% | 2021-02-22 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1049 | 48% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 1117 | 977 | 69% | 2017-04-21 | Won |
| 1005 | 897 | 65% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
| 1116 | 970 | 70% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1006 | 53% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 1140 | 919 | 78% | 2016-10-03 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1186 | 49% | 2016-09-28 | Lost |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2016-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1082.4 vs 1006.5 has a 60.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).