Corridor To Extinction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 101 (29 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 53
Defender wins (German (SS)): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 1211 | 40% | 2025-12-06 | | Won |
| 965 | 1000 | 45% | 2025-12-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1198 | 24% | 2025-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1211 | 1000 | 77% | 2024-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1211 | 1022 | 75% | 2024-04-15 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2023-06-17 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2020-07-31 | | Won |
| 1215 | 1133 | 62% | 2020-07-18 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1039 | 63% | 2020-07-12 | | Won |
| 1054 | 1068 | 48% | 2020-07-10 | | Lost |
| 1178 | 1132 | 57% | 2020-07-05 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2020-07-02 | | Won |
| 963 | 996 | 45% | 2020-06-28 | | Won |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2020-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 963 | 55% | 2020-06-23 | | Lost |
| 981 | 959 | 53% | 2019-05-17 | | Lost |
| 958 | 1147 | 25% | 2019-05-17 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1036 | 39% | 2019-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1119 | 1054 | 59% | 2019-03-31 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2019-01-20 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 986 | 70% | 2018-12-20 | | Won |
| 981 | 1143 | 28% | 2018-10-19 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 994 | 79% | 2018-01-04 | | Won |
| 1214 | 1000 | 77% | 2017-07-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2017-03-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2017-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1211 | 1022 | 75% | 2017-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1078 | 981 | 64% | 2017-01-21 | | Won |
| 1143 | 1141 | 50% | 2016-10-08 | | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1076.9 vs 1050.7 has a 53.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).