Corridor To Extinction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 101 (29 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 53
Defender wins (German (SS)): 48
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1174 | 1212 | 45% | 2025-12-06 | Won |
| 1030 | 970 | 59% | 2025-12-05 | Won |
| 1122 | 1186 | 41% | 2025-12-05 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1120 | 63% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1071 | 69% | 2024-04-15 | Won |
| 1002 | 1063 | 41% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 1018 | 993 | 54% | 2020-07-31 | Won |
| 1175 | 1123 | 57% | 2020-07-18 | Won |
| 1136 | 983 | 71% | 2020-07-12 | Won |
| 1054 | 1068 | 48% | 2020-07-10 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1136 | 56% | 2020-07-05 | Lost |
| 1131 | 998 | 68% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
| 999 | 996 | 50% | 2020-06-28 | Won |
| 884 | 898 | 48% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1014 | 999 | 52% | 2020-06-23 | Lost |
| 965 | 959 | 51% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 958 | 1128 | 27% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 959 | 969 | 49% | 2019-04-30 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1026 | 63% | 2019-03-31 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2019-01-20 | Lost |
| 1074 | 995 | 61% | 2018-12-20 | Won |
| 1178 | 1143 | 55% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
| 1223 | 994 | 79% | 2018-01-04 | Won |
| 1228 | 882 | 88% | 2017-07-28 | Won |
| 1003 | 1002 | 50% | 2017-03-31 | Won |
| 998 | 1131 | 32% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1071 | 69% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 901 | 1178 | 17% | 2017-01-21 | Won |
| 1143 | 1141 | 50% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1081.7 vs 1051.8 has a 54.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).