The Krinkelterwald
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (14 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 938 | 65% | 2025-04-28 | Lost |
| 982 | 996 | 48% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1017 | 907 | 65% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 950 | 879 | 60% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-07-05 | Won |
| 1029 | 965 | 59% | 2021-07-16 | Lost |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2020-03-26 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1008 | 50% | 2019-12-07 | Won |
| 889 | 1029 | 31% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 907 | 1051 | 30% | 2019-03-22 | Lost |
| 954 | 1051 | 36% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1016 | 66% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1078 | 1028 | 57% | 2018-03-07 | Won |
| 1126 | 1106 | 53% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1011.1 vs 1000.9 has a 51.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).