The Krinkelterwald
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (14 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 940 | 56% | 2025-04-28 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1016 | 55% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1018 | 959 | 58% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 968 | 879 | 63% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-07-05 | Won |
| 1049 | 965 | 62% | 2021-07-16 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-03-26 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1009 | 50% | 2019-12-07 | Won |
| 889 | 1049 | 28% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1144 | 1024 | 67% | 2019-03-22 | Lost |
| 975 | 1024 | 43% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1144 | 991 | 71% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1143 | 1045 | 64% | 2018-03-07 | Won |
| 1127 | 1123 | 51% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1042.3 vs 1008 has a 54.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).