The Krinkelterwald
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (12 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (American): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 995 | 61% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1018 | 966 | 57% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-07-05 | Won |
| 1058 | 963 | 63% | 2021-07-16 | Lost |
| 885 | 907 | 47% | 2020-03-26 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2019-12-07 | Won |
| 882 | 1058 | 27% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1143 | 1087 | 58% | 2019-03-22 | Lost |
| 953 | 1087 | 32% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1071 | 68% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1099 | 1063 | 55% | 2018-03-07 | Won |
| 1131 | 1100 | 54% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1045.2 vs 1032.8 has a 51.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).