Mageret Morning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (8 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 22
Defender wins (American): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 992 | 1310 | 14% | 2018-07-31 | Won |
| 1133 | 1002 | 68% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2018-02-01 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1158 | 41% | 2017-12-30 | Won |
| 967 | 1140 | 27% | 2017-12-13 | Won |
| 1214 | 1133 | 61% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1084 | 47% | 2017-10-01 | Won |
| 930 | 991 | 41% | 2017-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1048.8 vs 1102.3 has a 42.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).