Mageret Morning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (10 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 22
Defender wins (American): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 961 | 49% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 980 | 993 | 48% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 993 | 1253 | 18% | 2018-07-31 | Won |
| 1243 | 1068 | 73% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
| 970 | 1068 | 36% | 2018-02-01 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1158 | 41% | 2017-12-30 | Won |
| 970 | 1116 | 30% | 2017-12-13 | Won |
| 1217 | 989 | 79% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1024 | 56% | 2017-10-01 | Won |
| 1026 | 998 | 54% | 2017-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1050.7 vs 1062.8 has a 48.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).