Mageret Morning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (10 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 22
Defender wins (American): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 910 | 961 | 43% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 764 | 995 | 21% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 992 | 1329 | 13% | 2018-07-31 | Won |
| 1158 | 994 | 72% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2018-02-01 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1158 | 41% | 2017-12-30 | Won |
| 970 | 1127 | 29% | 2017-12-13 | Won |
| 1219 | 990 | 79% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1052 | 52% | 2017-10-01 | Won |
| 909 | 974 | 41% | 2017-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1012.8 vs 1057.5 has a 43.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).