Crickets in Spring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (25 on the archive and 84 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 47
Defender wins (Russian): 62
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
952 | 1058 | 35% | 2023-12-04 | Won |
1013 | 993 | 53% | 2021-05-04 | Lost |
1058 | 1011 | 57% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
1015 | 1058 | 44% | 2020-06-18 | Won |
780 | 1093 | 14% | 2020-04-07 | Lost |
1049 | 992 | 58% | 2020-03-15 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2019-11-05 | Lost |
1008 | 975 | 55% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
1144 | 1058 | 62% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
1144 | 1046 | 64% | 2018-08-15 | Lost |
1160 | 1317 | 29% | 2018-06-30 | Lost |
916 | 1058 | 31% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
1129 | 999 | 68% | 2018-02-18 | Won |
1225 | 1106 | 66% | 2018-02-03 | Won |
1242 | 1029 | 77% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
1002 | 1207 | 24% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
1004 | 1020 | 48% | 2017-12-05 | Won |
1179 | 1104 | 61% | 2017-12-03 | Won |
1165 | 1142 | 53% | 2017-12-02 | Lost |
1093 | 1300 | 23% | 2017-11-29 | Lost |
984 | 990 | 49% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
1083 | 1016 | 60% | 2017-10-14 | Won |
1226 | 1317 | 37% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
1008 | 987 | 53% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
985 | 1198 | 23% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1065 vs 1088 has a 46.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).