Crickets in Spring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (31 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 51
Defender wins (Russian): 69
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 780 | 89% | 2025-01-21 | | Won |
| 992 | 1000 | 49% | 2023-12-04 | | Won |
| 909 | 1077 | 28% | 2023-11-19 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 820 | 80% | 2021-05-06 | | Won |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-05-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2021-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 989 | 57% | 2020-06-18 | | Won |
| 967 | 1000 | 45% | 2020-04-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1050 | 43% | 2020-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2019-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2019-04-20 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2019-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-11-24 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2018-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2018-08-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2018-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1184 | 1000 | 74% | 2018-04-16 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1039 | 63% | 2018-02-18 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2018-02-03 | | Won |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2018-01-28 | | Won |
| 1002 | 1220 | 22% | 2018-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 2018-01-10 | | Lost |
| 1001 | 1058 | 42% | 2017-12-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2017-12-03 | | Won |
| 1021 | 1167 | 30% | 2017-12-02 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2017-11-29 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1055 | 60% | 2017-10-21 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1013 | 60% | 2017-10-14 | | Won |
| 1069 | 1151 | 38% | 2017-10-08 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2017-10-03 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1146 | 27% | 2017-01-25 | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1069 vs 1042.4 has a 53.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).