Crickets in Spring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1223 | 776 | 93% | 2025-01-21 | Won |
| 997 | 1032 | 45% | 2023-12-04 | Won |
| 890 | 1078 | 25% | 2023-11-19 | Lost |
| 896 | 1089 | 25% | 2021-05-04 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1008 | 53% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 987 | 1025 | 45% | 2020-06-18 | Won |
| 937 | 1225 | 16% | 2020-04-07 | Lost |
| 1053 | 983 | 60% | 2020-03-15 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1115 | 35% | 2019-11-05 | Lost |
| 1038 | 976 | 59% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1065 | 52% | 2018-10-01 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1086 | 67% | 2018-08-15 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1282 | 33% | 2018-06-30 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1051 | 64% | 2018-02-18 | Won |
| 1223 | 1136 | 62% | 2018-02-03 | Won |
| 1216 | 929 | 84% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
| 1003 | 1209 | 23% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 973 | 1061 | 38% | 2017-12-05 | Won |
| 1210 | 1219 | 49% | 2017-12-03 | Won |
| 1115 | 1133 | 47% | 2017-12-02 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1316 | 22% | 2017-11-29 | Lost |
| 946 | 1066 | 33% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 1029 | 1014 | 52% | 2017-10-14 | Won |
| 1165 | 1282 | 34% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
| 1038 | 1066 | 46% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1073.5 vs 1087.3 has a 48.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).