Mormal Forest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 98 (21 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (French): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 1017 | 69% | 2021-04-05 | Won |
| 1151 | 1134 | 52% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
| 1065 | 977 | 62% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1127 | 1105 | 53% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1152 | 980 | 73% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1219 | 992 | 79% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
| 1158 | 934 | 78% | 2018-09-21 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2018-06-02 | Won |
| 1051 | 1125 | 40% | 2018-04-06 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1219 | 33% | 2018-03-27 | Won |
| 1060 | 1106 | 43% | 2018-03-23 | Lost |
| 1154 | 998 | 71% | 2018-02-27 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2018-01-24 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1051 | 59% | 2017-12-31 | Lost |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2017-12-24 | Won |
| 1079 | 1050 | 54% | 2017-12-09 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1058 | 53% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1098 | 52% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 934 | 1131 | 24% | 2017-11-12 | Tied |
| 1065 | 1124 | 42% | 2017-11-08 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1105.9 vs 1077.2 has a 54.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).