Mormal Forest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (19 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 37
Defender wins (French): 58
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1158 | 958 | 76% | 2021-04-05 | Won |
1095 | 816 | 83% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
1008 | 975 | 55% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
1142 | 1052 | 63% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
1284 | 1002 | 84% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
1158 | 1058 | 64% | 2018-09-21 | Lost |
1225 | 1171 | 58% | 2018-06-02 | Won |
1087 | 1124 | 45% | 2018-04-06 | Lost |
1074 | 1284 | 23% | 2018-03-27 | Won |
916 | 916 | 50% | 2018-02-27 | Lost |
1093 | 1300 | 23% | 2018-01-24 | Lost |
1022 | 1087 | 41% | 2017-12-31 | Lost |
1020 | 1004 | 52% | 2017-12-24 | Won |
1068 | 1108 | 44% | 2017-12-09 | Lost |
1030 | 1058 | 46% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
1046 | 1092 | 43% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
1058 | 1144 | 38% | 2017-11-12 | Tied |
1008 | 1138 | 32% | 2017-11-08 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1080.3 vs 1069.5 has a 51.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).