Red Tears Shed on Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (22 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 947 | 52% | 2025-07-25 | Won |
| 1096 | 1152 | 42% | 2025-07-25 | Won |
| 1080 | 1207 | 32% | 2025-07-25 | Won |
| 1141 | 1018 | 67% | 2025-01-26 | Won |
| 1094 | 1152 | 42% | 2024-11-16 | Lost |
| 956 | 1041 | 38% | 2024-02-09 | Won |
| 866 | 1041 | 27% | 2024-01-03 | Won |
| 1062 | 1065 | 50% | 2023-08-23 | Won |
| 1131 | 947 | 74% | 2022-02-06 | Won |
| 1028 | 892 | 69% | 2020-08-29 | Won |
| 890 | 1070 | 26% | 2020-03-11 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1123 | 51% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1029 | 910 | 66% | 2018-08-18 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2018-04-27 | Won |
| 1082 | 1058 | 53% | 2018-03-08 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2018-03-07 | Lost |
| 977 | 1065 | 38% | 2018-02-10 | Lost |
| 1028 | 970 | 58% | 2018-02-10 | Won |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2018-01-16 | Lost |
| 1247 | 1127 | 67% | 2018-01-06 | Won |
| 1162 | 1114 | 57% | 2017-12-27 | Lost |
| 1124 | 996 | 68% | 2017-10-23 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1057.5 vs 1061.4 has a 49.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).