Red Tears Shed on Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (17 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian): 41
Defender wins (Russian): 43
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1173 | 1182 | 49% | 2024-11-16 | Lost |
| 969 | 1007 | 45% | 2024-02-09 | Won |
| 941 | 1007 | 41% | 2024-01-03 | Won |
| 1205 | 901 | 85% | 2022-02-06 | Won |
| 1058 | 892 | 72% | 2020-08-29 | Won |
| 889 | 1070 | 26% | 2020-03-11 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1047 | 62% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1054 | 910 | 70% | 2018-08-18 | Lost |
| 985 | 1181 | 24% | 2018-04-27 | Won |
| 1065 | 1058 | 51% | 2018-03-08 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1311 | 22% | 2018-03-07 | Lost |
| 977 | 1022 | 44% | 2018-02-10 | Lost |
| 1058 | 970 | 62% | 2018-02-10 | Won |
| 946 | 1071 | 33% | 2018-01-16 | Lost |
| 1275 | 1138 | 69% | 2018-01-06 | Won |
| 1139 | 1127 | 52% | 2017-12-27 | Lost |
| 1105 | 986 | 66% | 2017-10-23 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1062.5 vs 1051.8 has a 51.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).