Back in Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (9 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (German): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 978 | 1036 | 42% | 2024-08-12 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1100 | 52% | 2024-06-08 | Lost |
| 1033 | 998 | 55% | 2023-04-28 | Won |
| 1044 | 1030 | 52% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1154 | 49% | 2021-04-10 | Won |
| 1127 | 857 | 83% | 2020-01-13 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2018-03-23 | Won |
| 1057 | 1219 | 28% | 2018-03-08 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1107 | 35% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1080.8 vs 1075 has a 50.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).