Zwarts' Madhouse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (9 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 10
Defender wins (Dutch): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2025-11-22 | Won |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | 2025-01-31 | Won |
| 1041 | 1122 | 39% | 2023-12-14 | Lost |
| 1075 | 967 | 65% | 2021-12-06 | Won |
| 931 | 1034 | 36% | 2021-02-19 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2021-02-03 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1149 | 38% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 1065 | 1002 | 59% | 2019-07-19 | Lost |
| 1223 | 805 | 92% | 2018-12-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1040.9 vs 1054.2 has a 48.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).