Hard ROK
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (North Korean): 9
Defender wins (South Korean): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1192 | 1061 | 68% | 2024-08-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2024-08-09 | | Won |
| 1202 | 1241 | 44% | 2024-06-14 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2022-10-30 | | Lost |
| 935 | 1010 | 39% | 2022-10-06 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1140 | 27% | 2022-01-18 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2020-12-08 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-07-11 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2019-06-19 | | Won |
| 987 | 1075 | 38% | 2019-01-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2018-11-25 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1017 | 54% | 2018-09-14 | | Lost |
| 1025 | 1000 | 54% | 2018-07-28 | | Won |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2018-05-08 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1143 | 44% | 2018-05-06 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1081 | 59% | 2018-03-14 | | Lost |
| 928 | 1080 | 29% | 2018-01-12 | | Lost |
| 1344 | 1000 | 88% | 2018-01-11 | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1068.5 vs 1064.2 has a 50.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).