Hard ROK
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (18 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (North Korean): 27
Defender wins (South Korean): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1218 | 1068 | 70% | 2024-08-30 | Won |
| 1025 | 1014 | 52% | 2024-08-09 | Won |
| 1171 | 1186 | 48% | 2024-06-14 | Lost |
| 1218 | 979 | 80% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
| 972 | 1010 | 45% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 878 | 1127 | 19% | 2022-01-18 | Lost |
| 1097 | 908 | 75% | 2020-12-08 | Won |
| 1024 | 1087 | 41% | 2019-12-05 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2019-07-11 | Won |
| 1055 | 1123 | 40% | 2019-06-19 | Won |
| 975 | 1058 | 38% | 2019-01-31 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 959 | 1091 | 32% | 2018-09-14 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1109 | 40% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1116 | 970 | 70% | 2018-05-08 | Won |
| 1032 | 1143 | 35% | 2018-05-06 | Won |
| 1117 | 1006 | 65% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 941 | 1058 | 34% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1052.8 vs 1056.9 has a 49.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).