Hard ROK
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (North Korean): 9
Defender wins (South Korean): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1150 | 1040 | 65% | 2024-08-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2024-08-09 | | Won |
| 1215 | 1154 | 59% | 2024-06-14 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1010 | 42% | 2022-10-06 | | Lost |
| 904 | 1163 | 18% | 2022-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1065 | 1120 | 42% | 2020-12-08 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-07-11 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2019-06-19 | | Won |
| 986 | 1134 | 30% | 2019-01-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2018-11-25 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2018-09-14 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2018-07-28 | | Won |
| 1147 | 970 | 73% | 2018-05-08 | | Won |
| 1076 | 1142 | 41% | 2018-05-06 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1049 | 62% | 2018-03-14 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1062 | 37% | 2018-01-12 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2018-01-11 | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1059.9 vs 1059.9 has a 50% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).