Hard ROK
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (18 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (North Korean): 27
Defender wins (South Korean): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1160 | 983 | 73% | 2024-08-30 | Won |
| 1024 | 1061 | 45% | 2024-08-09 | Won |
| 1168 | 1310 | 31% | 2024-06-14 | Lost |
| 1160 | 929 | 79% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
| 902 | 1011 | 35% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 966 | 1108 | 31% | 2022-01-18 | Lost |
| 967 | 1053 | 38% | 2020-12-08 | Won |
| 1050 | 1087 | 45% | 2019-12-05 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1000 | 57% | 2019-07-11 | Won |
| 1045 | 1110 | 41% | 2019-06-19 | Won |
| 929 | 1195 | 18% | 2019-01-31 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2018-09-14 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1080 | 50% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2018-05-08 | Won |
| 1024 | 1079 | 42% | 2018-05-06 | Won |
| 1023 | 1034 | 48% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 921 | 1079 | 29% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1039.8 vs 1065.4 has a 46.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).