Hard ROK
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (18 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (North Korean): 27
Defender wins (South Korean): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 1002 | 68% | 2024-08-30 | Won |
| 1027 | 1023 | 51% | 2024-08-09 | Won |
| 1141 | 1260 | 34% | 2024-06-14 | Lost |
| 1133 | 937 | 76% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
| 914 | 1011 | 36% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 955 | 1096 | 31% | 2022-01-18 | Lost |
| 1005 | 933 | 60% | 2020-12-08 | Won |
| 1084 | 1085 | 50% | 2019-12-05 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-07-11 | Won |
| 1044 | 1100 | 42% | 2019-06-19 | Won |
| 976 | 1128 | 29% | 2019-01-31 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2018-09-14 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1077 | 46% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1140 | 967 | 73% | 2018-05-08 | Won |
| 1072 | 1099 | 46% | 2018-05-06 | Won |
| 982 | 1035 | 42% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 968 | 1037 | 40% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1043.9 vs 1048.8 has a 49.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).