Hard ROK
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (18 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (North Korean): 27
Defender wins (South Korean): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 994 | 72% | 2024-08-30 | Won |
| 1024 | 1033 | 49% | 2024-08-09 | Won |
| 1164 | 1242 | 39% | 2024-06-14 | Lost |
| 1158 | 764 | 91% | 2022-10-30 | Lost |
| 933 | 1011 | 39% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 998 | 1111 | 34% | 2022-01-18 | Lost |
| 1020 | 964 | 58% | 2020-12-08 | Won |
| 1052 | 1088 | 45% | 2019-12-05 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1000 | 57% | 2019-07-11 | Won |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2019-06-19 | Won |
| 961 | 1181 | 22% | 2019-01-31 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2018-09-14 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1128 | 41% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1127 | 970 | 71% | 2018-05-08 | Won |
| 1036 | 1078 | 44% | 2018-05-06 | Won |
| 1060 | 1028 | 55% | 2018-03-14 | Lost |
| 877 | 1118 | 20% | 2018-01-12 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1047.7 vs 1049.9 has a 49.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).