A Line Too Thinly Held
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (8 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (North Korean): 13
Defender wins (American): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1123 | 1078 | 56% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1210 | 959 | 81% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1165 | 1020 | 70% | 2023-05-07 | Won |
| 1024 | 1106 | 38% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2020-08-21 | Won |
| 922 | 890 | 55% | 2018-10-23 | Won |
| 971 | 1153 | 26% | 2018-09-05 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1056.8 vs 1045.4 has a 51.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).