A Line Too Thinly Held
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (8 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (North Korean): 13
Defender wins (American): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1085 | 1074 | 52% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1150 | 992 | 71% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2023-05-07 | Won |
| 1022 | 1122 | 36% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1122 | 40% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2020-08-21 | Won |
| 918 | 890 | 54% | 2018-10-23 | Won |
| 971 | 1158 | 25% | 2018-09-05 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1047.3 vs 1046.6 has a 50.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).