The Brickworks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (21 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Russian): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 895 | 895 | 50% | 2026-03-03 | Won |
| 1144 | 1174 | 46% | 2026-02-22 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1313 | 43% | 2026-02-01 | Won |
| 1005 | 1174 | 27% | 2025-10-27 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1206 | 41% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1145 | 61% | 2023-06-17 | Won |
| 991 | 1023 | 45% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1019 | 56% | 2022-11-06 | Lost |
| 1065 | 979 | 62% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1139 | 33% | 2020-10-30 | Won |
| 980 | 1006 | 46% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 970 | 1065 | 37% | 2020-09-22 | Lost |
| 1015 | 949 | 59% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1122 | 45% | 2020-09-14 | Won |
| 1131 | 982 | 70% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 756 | 828 | 40% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
| 1108 | 943 | 72% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 901 | 943 | 44% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
| 889 | 943 | 42% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1199 | 49% | 2018-06-01 | Lost |
| 943 | 1065 | 33% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1037 vs 1053 has a 47.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).