The Brickworks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (18 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 1236 | 21% | 2025-10-27 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1274 | 33% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1149 | 60% | 2023-06-17 | Won |
| 991 | 1024 | 45% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1002 | 58% | 2022-11-06 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1024 | 49% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1119 | 34% | 2020-10-30 | Won |
| 980 | 1006 | 46% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 962 | 1018 | 42% | 2020-09-22 | Lost |
| 1032 | 958 | 60% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1141 | 42% | 2020-09-14 | Won |
| 1118 | 805 | 86% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 755 | 826 | 40% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
| 1109 | 1000 | 65% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 901 | 1000 | 36% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
| 894 | 1000 | 35% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1212 | 45% | 2018-06-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 996 | 51% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1025.1 vs 1043.9 has a 47.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).