The Brickworks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (20 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 24
Defender wins (Russian): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 1248 | 37% | 2026-02-22 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1303 | 47% | 2026-02-01 | Won |
| 1005 | 1248 | 20% | 2025-10-27 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1282 | 31% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1146 | 55% | 2023-06-17 | Won |
| 991 | 1024 | 45% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1045 | 52% | 2022-11-06 | Lost |
| 1057 | 986 | 60% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1139 | 37% | 2020-10-30 | Won |
| 980 | 1006 | 46% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 969 | 1057 | 38% | 2020-09-22 | Lost |
| 959 | 949 | 51% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1122 | 46% | 2020-09-14 | Won |
| 1144 | 991 | 71% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 756 | 827 | 40% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
| 1108 | 1020 | 62% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 901 | 1020 | 34% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
| 895 | 1020 | 33% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1198 | 49% | 2018-06-01 | Lost |
| 1020 | 995 | 54% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1047.1 vs 1081.3 has a 45.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).