The Brickworks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (21 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 861 | 1000 | 31% | 2026-03-03 | | Won |
| 1197 | 1159 | 55% | 2026-02-22 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1310 | 40% | 2026-02-01 | | Won |
| 1005 | 1159 | 29% | 2025-10-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1292 | 16% | 2023-06-17 | | Lost |
| 1174 | 1000 | 73% | 2023-06-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2023-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2022-11-06 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 956 | 68% | 2021-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-10-30 | | Won |
| 980 | 1006 | 46% | 2020-10-06 | | Won |
| 970 | 1086 | 34% | 2020-09-22 | | Lost |
| 959 | 949 | 51% | 2020-09-15 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 1121 | 59% | 2020-09-14 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2019-06-20 | | Lost |
| 692 | 1000 | 15% | 2019-01-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2018-09-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2018-06-29 | | Won |
| 889 | 1089 | 24% | 2018-06-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1229 | 21% | 2018-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1089 | 1119 | 46% | 2018-04-07 | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1021.5 vs 1082.7 has a 41.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).