The Brickworks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (21 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 891 | 896 | 49% | 2026-03-03 | Won |
| 1162 | 1219 | 42% | 2026-02-22 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1313 | 43% | 2026-02-01 | Won |
| 1005 | 1219 | 23% | 2025-10-27 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1216 | 40% | 2023-06-17 | Lost |
| 1245 | 1145 | 64% | 2023-06-17 | Won |
| 991 | 1023 | 45% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1077 | 47% | 2022-11-06 | Lost |
| 1054 | 988 | 59% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1135 | 42% | 2020-10-30 | Won |
| 980 | 1007 | 46% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
| 970 | 1054 | 38% | 2020-09-22 | Lost |
| 1003 | 949 | 58% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1122 | 48% | 2020-09-14 | Won |
| 1143 | 1059 | 62% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 707 | 828 | 33% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
| 1108 | 1038 | 60% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 901 | 1038 | 31% | 2018-06-29 | Won |
| 889 | 1038 | 30% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1205 | 48% | 2018-06-01 | Lost |
| 1038 | 992 | 57% | 2018-04-07 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1044.1 vs 1074.3 has a 45.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).