Liehr Launches First
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 136 (40 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 65
Defender wins (American): 70
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 946 | 1071 | 33% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
| 986 | 907 | 61% | 2023-08-13 | Won |
| 853 | 994 | 31% | 2022-09-24 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1068 | 47% | 2022-08-03 | Won |
| 1022 | 1065 | 44% | 2022-08-02 | Lost |
| 931 | 1310 | 10% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1310 | 982 | 87% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
| 1000 | 1310 | 14% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 1074 | 889 | 74% | 2021-12-11 | Won |
| 1025 | 1009 | 52% | 2021-10-10 | Won |
| 1053 | 977 | 61% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 960 | 931 | 54% | 2021-07-04 | Won |
| 920 | 986 | 41% | 2021-06-09 | Won |
| 1027 | 1011 | 52% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
| 1105 | 1006 | 64% | 2021-03-21 | Won |
| 925 | 907 | 53% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1055 | 47% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 989 | 1126 | 31% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 1025 | 1056 | 46% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1083 | 1083 | 50% | 2019-12-29 | Won |
| 1044 | 1099 | 42% | 2019-07-27 | Lost |
| 907 | 1108 | 24% | 2019-07-18 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1031 | 62% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
| 983 | 1009 | 46% | 2019-05-26 | Lost |
| 937 | 898 | 56% | 2019-04-07 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1152 | 41% | 2019-03-24 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1226 | 49% | 2019-02-08 | Won |
| 1071 | 881 | 75% | 2019-01-29 | Won |
| 1099 | 1063 | 55% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1205 | 1071 | 68% | 2019-01-03 | Lost |
| 1031 | 879 | 71% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
| 1065 | 1058 | 51% | 2018-12-21 | Won |
| 1148 | 1071 | 61% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 1094 | 1137 | 44% | 2018-11-05 | Lost |
| 857 | 1140 | 16% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1043 | 45% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1087 | 39% | 2018-09-21 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1058 | 50% | 2018-08-12 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1138 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1039.2 vs 1048.4 has a 48.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).