Liehr Launches First
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 138 (42 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 66
Defender wins (American): 71
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
934 | 864 | 60% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
1084 | 950 | 68% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
985 | 906 | 61% | 2023-08-13 | Won |
869 | 994 | 33% | 2022-09-24 | Lost |
1092 | 1092 | 50% | 2022-08-03 | Won |
1022 | 1084 | 41% | 2022-08-02 | Lost |
1121 | 1116 | 51% | 2022-06-12 | Won |
943 | 1310 | 11% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
1000 | 1310 | 14% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
1310 | 1029 | 83% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
1075 | 908 | 72% | 2021-12-11 | Won |
1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2021-10-10 | Won |
1009 | 978 | 54% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
934 | 931 | 50% | 2021-07-04 | Won |
970 | 987 | 48% | 2021-06-09 | Won |
996 | 999 | 50% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
1106 | 1006 | 64% | 2021-03-21 | Won |
925 | 906 | 53% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
1016 | 1218 | 24% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
989 | 1106 | 34% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
1025 | 1056 | 46% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
1098 | 1098 | 50% | 2019-12-29 | Won |
973 | 1099 | 33% | 2019-07-27 | Lost |
906 | 1100 | 25% | 2019-07-18 | Lost |
1199 | 1032 | 72% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
982 | 1009 | 46% | 2019-05-26 | Lost |
998 | 899 | 64% | 2019-04-07 | Lost |
1080 | 1151 | 40% | 2019-03-24 | Lost |
1219 | 1227 | 49% | 2019-02-08 | Won |
1014 | 877 | 69% | 2019-01-29 | Won |
1079 | 1056 | 53% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
1132 | 1014 | 66% | 2019-01-03 | Lost |
1125 | 878 | 81% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
1084 | 1058 | 54% | 2018-12-21 | Won |
1170 | 1014 | 71% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
1094 | 1137 | 44% | 2018-11-05 | Lost |
853 | 1157 | 15% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
1006 | 1043 | 45% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
1008 | 1080 | 40% | 2018-09-21 | Lost |
1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2018-08-12 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1042.8 vs 1046 has a 49.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).