Liehr Launches First
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 145 (48 on the archive and 97 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 75
Defender wins (American): 69
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 985 | 60% | 2025-10-28 | Won |
| 1219 | 1007 | 77% | 2025-10-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2025-07-09 | Won |
| 967 | 845 | 67% | 2025-01-25 | Lost |
| 995 | 1054 | 42% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2023-08-30 | Won |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2023-08-13 | Won |
| 975 | 994 | 47% | 2022-09-24 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1099 | 45% | 2022-08-03 | Won |
| 1021 | 1081 | 41% | 2022-08-02 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1135 | 48% | 2022-06-12 | Won |
| 937 | 1252 | 14% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1252 | 19% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1018 | 79% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
| 1079 | 913 | 72% | 2021-12-11 | Won |
| 1057 | 986 | 60% | 2021-10-10 | Won |
| 965 | 989 | 47% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
| 967 | 932 | 55% | 2021-07-04 | Won |
| 983 | 993 | 49% | 2021-06-09 | Won |
| 1028 | 999 | 54% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
| 1125 | 1006 | 66% | 2021-03-21 | Won |
| 922 | 1000 | 39% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1177 | 29% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
| 989 | 1102 | 34% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 1024 | 1056 | 45% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2019-12-29 | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2019-07-27 | Lost |
| 786 | 1283 | 5% | 2019-07-26 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2019-07-18 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1035 | 56% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
| 983 | 1010 | 46% | 2019-05-26 | Lost |
| 887 | 1103 | 22% | 2019-04-07 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1150 | 33% | 2019-03-24 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1231 | 48% | 2019-02-08 | Won |
| 991 | 878 | 66% | 2019-01-29 | Won |
| 1143 | 1045 | 64% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1144 | 991 | 71% | 2019-01-03 | Lost |
| 1075 | 876 | 76% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
| 1081 | 1058 | 53% | 2018-12-21 | Won |
| 1248 | 991 | 81% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 1094 | 1138 | 44% | 2018-11-05 | Lost |
| 851 | 1139 | 16% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
| 1338 | 1283 | 58% | 2018-10-17 | Won |
| 1008 | 1055 | 43% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
| 962 | 1024 | 41% | 2018-09-21 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1037 | 52% | 2018-08-12 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1047.6 vs 1057 has a 48.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).