Hatten in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (American): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 849 | 74% | 2025-12-28 | Won |
| 1174 | 1234 | 41% | 2025-04-30 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1108 | 50% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1055 | 52% | 2024-04-08 | Won |
| 993 | 1195 | 24% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
| 1206 | 999 | 77% | 2023-10-29 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2023-10-16 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1220 | 48% | 2022-04-04 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1192 | 33% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1218 | 44% | 2021-02-09 | Won |
| 984 | 989 | 49% | 2021-01-31 | Won |
| 1173 | 1175 | 50% | 2020-09-08 | Won |
| 1057 | 1173 | 34% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2020-04-10 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1043 | 51% | 2019-05-01 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1099.4 vs 1120.1 has a 47.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).