Hatten in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (15 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (American): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 841 | 76% | 2025-12-28 | Won |
| 1159 | 1251 | 37% | 2025-04-30 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1107 | 50% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1055 | 53% | 2024-04-08 | Won |
| 993 | 1023 | 46% | 2024-03-01 | Won |
| 1236 | 986 | 81% | 2023-10-29 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2023-10-16 | Lost |
| 1236 | 1220 | 52% | 2022-04-04 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1202 | 28% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1217 | 42% | 2021-02-09 | Won |
| 984 | 989 | 49% | 2021-01-31 | Won |
| 1172 | 1175 | 50% | 2020-09-08 | Won |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2020-05-17 | Lost |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2020-04-10 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1077 | 46% | 2019-05-01 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1100.4 vs 1111.1 has a 48.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).