Fish to Fry
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (9 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 8
Defender wins (North Korean): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1228 | 991 | 80% | 2023-05-21 | Won |
| 1109 | 1073 | 55% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1123 | 36% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 1055 | 1123 | 40% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 958 | 1072 | 34% | 2019-06-21 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1136 | 41% | 2019-05-11 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1024 | 58% | 2019-01-12 | Won |
| 1086 | 1051 | 55% | 2018-12-17 | Won |
| 998 | 1086 | 38% | 2018-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1067.8 vs 1075.4 has a 48.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).