Wiener Walzer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 15
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1186 | 1011 | 73% | 2023-12-29 | | Lost |
| 988 | 1034 | 43% | 2023-08-11 | D | Lost |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-07-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1265 | 18% | 2023-01-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2022-06-07 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2020-11-22 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1177 | 26% | 2020-11-22 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 911 | 80% | 2020-11-03 | | Won |
| 859 | 1152 | 16% | 2020-10-09 | | Lost |
| 988 | 1120 | 32% | 2020-10-08 | | Lost |
| 988 | 1120 | 32% | 2020-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 988 | 52% | 2020-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 821 | 81% | 2020-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1130 | 947 | 74% | 2020-04-10 | | Won |
| 1265 | 1118 | 70% | 2019-08-07 | | Won |
| 969 | 991 | 47% | 2019-07-26 | | Won |
| 1158 | 724 | 92% | 2019-05-16 | | Won |
| 1085 | 939 | 70% | 2019-04-14 | | Won |
| 1078 | 988 | 63% | 2019-04-12 | | Won |
| 1076 | 1105 | 46% | 2019-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-03-01 | | Won |
| 1177 | 1085 | 63% | 2019-02-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2019-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2018-12-15 | | Lost |
| 971 | 1087 | 34% | 2018-12-01 | | Lost |
| 988 | 1138 | 30% | 2018-11-26 | | Won |
| 946 | 1319 | 10% | 2018-11-12 | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1043.6 vs 1054.3 has a 48.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).