Wiener Walzer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (28 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (Russian): 52
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1081 | 59% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 950 | 1032 | 38% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2023-07-23 | Lost |
| 1420 | 1274 | 70% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 952 | 982 | 46% | 2022-06-07 | Lost |
| 947 | 902 | 56% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
| 947 | 1165 | 22% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1004 | 70% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 827 | 1152 | 13% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 950 | 1041 | 37% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 950 | 1041 | 37% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1100 | 44% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1016 | 904 | 66% | 2020-07-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 953 | 69% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1186 | 984 | 76% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1135 | 69% | 2019-08-07 | Won |
| 1056 | 975 | 61% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2019-05-16 | Won |
| 1051 | 903 | 70% | 2019-04-14 | Won |
| 1068 | 950 | 66% | 2019-04-12 | Won |
| 1098 | 1086 | 52% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1001 | 56% | 2019-03-01 | Won |
| 1165 | 1051 | 66% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1006 | 1226 | 22% | 2019-02-08 | Lost |
| 932 | 1217 | 16% | 2018-12-15 | Lost |
| 970 | 1044 | 40% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1125 | 46% | 2018-11-26 | Won |
| 896 | 1151 | 19% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1050.7 vs 1044.6 has a 50.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).