Wiener Walzer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (28 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (Russian): 52
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1142 | 1065 | 61% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
951 | 1050 | 36% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2023-07-23 | Lost |
1063 | 1333 | 17% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
953 | 982 | 46% | 2022-06-07 | Lost |
1011 | 903 | 65% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
1011 | 1133 | 33% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
1151 | 1006 | 70% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
831 | 1151 | 14% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
951 | 1028 | 39% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
951 | 1028 | 39% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
1080 | 1065 | 52% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
1011 | 918 | 63% | 2020-07-08 | Lost |
1151 | 953 | 76% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
1145 | 937 | 77% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2019-08-07 | Won |
937 | 1061 | 33% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
1152 | 713 | 93% | 2019-05-16 | Won |
1052 | 927 | 67% | 2019-04-14 | Won |
1060 | 951 | 65% | 2019-04-12 | Won |
1079 | 1050 | 54% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
1051 | 1002 | 57% | 2019-03-01 | Won |
1133 | 1052 | 61% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
1047 | 1226 | 26% | 2019-02-08 | Lost |
932 | 1219 | 16% | 2018-12-15 | Lost |
971 | 1051 | 39% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
1065 | 1124 | 42% | 2018-11-26 | Won |
898 | 1210 | 14% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1040.6 vs 1045 has a 49.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).