The Flying Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (4 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
936 | 1016 | 39% | 2022-06-27 | Lost |
887 | 1058 | 27% | 2019-03-31 | Lost |
1283 | 1127 | 71% | 2019-03-03 | Won |
893 | 1004 | 35% | 2018-12-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 999.8 vs 1051.3 has a 42.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).