The Flying Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (6 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 1263 | 16% | 2022-11-19 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1133 | 56% | 2022-06-27 | Lost |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 2019-03-31 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1187 | 54% | 2019-03-03 | Won |
| 1218 | 1170 | 57% | 2019-03-02 | Won |
| 893 | 1043 | 30% | 2018-12-01 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1061.3 vs 1149.3 has a 37.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).