The Flying Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (5 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1185 | 991 | 75% | 2022-06-27 | Lost |
| 890 | 1084 | 25% | 2019-03-31 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1163 | 58% | 2019-03-03 | Won |
| 1219 | 1139 | 61% | 2019-03-02 | Won |
| 893 | 1040 | 30% | 2018-12-01 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1081.2 vs 1083.4 has a 49.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).