Bloody Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (7 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (American): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 1087 | 49% | 2025-04-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2022-12-17 | Lost |
| 997 | 1030 | 45% | 2022-07-06 | Won |
| 1114 | 1127 | 48% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
| 1141 | 991 | 70% | 2021-09-08 | Won |
| 1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2020-04-28 | Won |
| 1133 | 1008 | 67% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1065.9 vs 1047.1 has a 52.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).