Bloody Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (7 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (American): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 1044 | 39% | 2025-04-01 | Won |
| 982 | 987 | 49% | 2022-12-17 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1031 | 58% | 2022-07-06 | Won |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
| 788 | 1274 | 6% | 2021-09-08 | Won |
| 1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2020-04-28 | Won |
| 1205 | 1053 | 71% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1021.6 vs 1074.1 has a 42.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).