Bloody Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (7 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 1104 | 46% | 2025-04-01 | Won |
| 1048 | 1024 | 53% | 2022-12-17 | Lost |
| 995 | 1031 | 45% | 2022-07-06 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1032 | 74% | 2021-09-08 | Won |
| 1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2020-04-28 | Won |
| 1167 | 1008 | 71% | 2019-01-19 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1098.3 vs 1053.4 has a 56.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).