Per L'Onore Di Roma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 102 (34 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1189 | 1078 | 65% | 2023-10-08 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1313 | 25% | 2023-05-06 | Won |
| 1313 | 1111 | 76% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 988 | 998 | 49% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1125 | 1223 | 36% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1218 | 40% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1413 | 10% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 998 | 1036 | 45% | 2021-11-07 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1078 | 65% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 991 | 1152 | 28% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1073 | 1152 | 39% | 2021-07-13 | Won |
| 916 | 805 | 65% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1095 | 41% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2021-06-07 | Won |
| 943 | 1062 | 34% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1082 | 948 | 68% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 1233 | 749 | 94% | 2020-08-10 | Won |
| 1048 | 952 | 63% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 999 | 964 | 55% | 2020-06-04 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1156 | 44% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1110 | 1153 | 44% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1002 | 987 | 52% | 2020-03-10 | Lost |
| 956 | 1150 | 25% | 2019-11-08 | Won |
| 1078 | 1132 | 42% | 2019-11-08 | Lost |
| 1108 | 956 | 71% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 985 | 909 | 61% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 997 | 1055 | 42% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1198 | 909 | 84% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1074 | 1215 | 31% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1233 | 31% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
| 1001 | 1048 | 43% | 2018-11-17 | Won |
| 1030 | 1079 | 43% | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1067 vs 1074.1 has a 48.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).