Per L'Onore Di Roma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 103 (34 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1177 | 1011 | 72% | 2023-10-08 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1329 | 23% | 2023-05-06 | Won |
| 1329 | 1096 | 79% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 988 | 950 | 55% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1125 | 1200 | 39% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 1114 | 1127 | 48% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1218 | 37% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1416 | 10% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 999 | 997 | 50% | 2021-11-07 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1011 | 72% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 997 | 1152 | 29% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1087 | 1152 | 41% | 2021-07-13 | Won |
| 919 | 806 | 66% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 997 | 1049 | 43% | 2021-06-07 | Won |
| 943 | 1062 | 34% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1054 | 988 | 59% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 1275 | 745 | 95% | 2020-08-10 | Won |
| 1028 | 951 | 61% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 999 | 988 | 52% | 2020-06-04 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1163 | 43% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1110 | 1127 | 48% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1003 | 988 | 52% | 2020-03-10 | Lost |
| 988 | 1151 | 28% | 2019-11-08 | Won |
| 1011 | 1143 | 32% | 2019-11-08 | Lost |
| 1108 | 988 | 67% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 985 | 909 | 61% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 997 | 1032 | 45% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1199 | 909 | 84% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1052 | 1215 | 28% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1275 | 26% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
| 987 | 1028 | 44% | 2018-11-17 | Won |
| 1029 | 1090 | 41% | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1064.7 vs 1070 has a 49.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).