Per L'Onore Di Roma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 102 (34 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 54
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1160 | 1033 | 68% | 2023-10-08 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1302 | 26% | 2023-05-06 | Won |
| 1302 | 1096 | 77% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 995 | 966 | 54% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1125 | 1205 | 39% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1218 | 41% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1405 | 10% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 999 | 1043 | 44% | 2021-11-07 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1033 | 68% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 993 | 1142 | 30% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1096 | 1142 | 43% | 2021-07-13 | Won |
| 945 | 830 | 66% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1096 | 40% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 993 | 1049 | 42% | 2021-06-07 | Won |
| 943 | 1061 | 34% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 1203 | 755 | 93% | 2020-08-10 | Won |
| 1024 | 952 | 60% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 999 | 1011 | 48% | 2020-06-04 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1136 | 47% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1126 | 1147 | 47% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1003 | 988 | 52% | 2020-03-10 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1195 | 28% | 2019-11-08 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1147 | 31% | 2019-11-08 | Won |
| 1108 | 1009 | 64% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 985 | 927 | 58% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 1189 | 927 | 82% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 995 | 1037 | 44% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1050 | 1215 | 28% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1203 | 35% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
| 1002 | 1024 | 47% | 2018-11-17 | Won |
| 1028 | 1105 | 39% | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1062.5 vs 1074.8 has a 48.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).