Per L'Onore Di Roma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 102 (34 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 54
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1181 | 1161 | 53% | 2023-10-08 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1336 | 22% | 2023-05-06 | Won |
| 1336 | 1083 | 81% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 995 | 960 | 55% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1123 | 1238 | 34% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1218 | 41% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1412 | 10% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 999 | 1010 | 48% | 2021-11-07 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1161 | 53% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 991 | 1152 | 28% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1072 | 1152 | 39% | 2021-07-13 | Won |
| 934 | 831 | 64% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1085 | 42% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2021-06-07 | Won |
| 943 | 1061 | 34% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 1257 | 749 | 95% | 2020-08-10 | Won |
| 1015 | 952 | 59% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 999 | 1025 | 46% | 2020-06-04 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1154 | 45% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1106 | 1147 | 44% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1003 | 988 | 52% | 2020-03-10 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1132 | 54% | 2019-11-08 | Lost |
| 994 | 1147 | 29% | 2019-11-08 | Won |
| 1108 | 994 | 66% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 985 | 914 | 60% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 1189 | 914 | 83% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1089 | 1215 | 33% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1257 | 28% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
| 1002 | 1015 | 48% | 2018-11-17 | Won |
| 1029 | 1117 | 38% | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1071.4 vs 1081.4 has a 48.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).