Per L'Onore Di Roma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (35 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 56
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1232 | 1067 | 72% | 2023-10-08 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1252 | 32% | 2023-05-06 | Won |
| 1252 | 1157 | 63% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 988 | 896 | 63% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1140 | 1176 | 45% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1344 | 21% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1344 | 21% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1424 | 9% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 999 | 984 | 52% | 2021-11-07 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1067 | 72% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 993 | 1139 | 30% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1040 | 1139 | 36% | 2021-07-13 | Won |
| 950 | 786 | 72% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1060 | 45% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2021-06-07 | Won |
| 934 | 1064 | 32% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 982 | 1070 | 38% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 1256 | 754 | 95% | 2020-08-10 | Won |
| 1031 | 951 | 61% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1002 | 1013 | 48% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 999 | 989 | 51% | 2020-06-04 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1110 | 51% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1102 | 1142 | 44% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1003 | 988 | 52% | 2020-03-10 | Lost |
| 922 | 1164 | 20% | 2019-11-08 | Won |
| 1067 | 1131 | 41% | 2019-11-08 | Lost |
| 1108 | 922 | 74% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 986 | 1025 | 44% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 997 | 1049 | 43% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1211 | 1025 | 74% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1000 | 1215 | 22% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1256 | 24% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
| 1006 | 1031 | 46% | 2018-11-17 | Won |
| 1017 | 1018 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1062.3 vs 1082.9 has a 47.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).