Per L'Onore Di Roma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 106 (37 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 50
Defender wins (Russian): 56
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1026 | 1004 | 53% | 2024-05-10 | Won |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2023-10-08 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1223 | 37% | 2023-05-06 | Won |
| 1223 | 1185 | 55% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 988 | 884 | 65% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1140 | 1151 | 48% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1343 | 22% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1343 | 22% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1430 | 9% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 999 | 984 | 52% | 2021-11-07 | Lost |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1139 | 35% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1010 | 1139 | 32% | 2021-07-13 | Won |
| 1015 | 786 | 79% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1031 | 49% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 1028 | 1012 | 52% | 2021-06-07 | Won |
| 934 | 1066 | 32% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 907 | 1172 | 18% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 1220 | 750 | 94% | 2020-08-10 | Won |
| 1026 | 1135 | 35% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
| 1033 | 951 | 62% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1002 | 1013 | 48% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2020-06-04 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1121 | 55% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1102 | 1142 | 44% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1003 | 988 | 52% | 2020-03-10 | Lost |
| 986 | 1164 | 26% | 2019-11-08 | Won |
| 986 | 1131 | 30% | 2019-11-08 | Lost |
| 1108 | 986 | 67% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 986 | 965 | 53% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 997 | 1043 | 43% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1228 | 965 | 82% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 969 | 1215 | 20% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1220 | 28% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
| 1005 | 1033 | 46% | 2018-11-17 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1057.4 vs 1077.9 has a 47.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).