Cub Cub Hills
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (17 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 16
Defender wins (Italian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 980 | 1044 | 41% | 2025-02-22 | Won |
| 1029 | 1061 | 45% | 2022-10-04 | Lost |
| 944 | 1031 | 38% | 2022-07-09 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1011 | 50% | 2022-07-09 | Won |
| 1114 | 969 | 70% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
| 903 | 972 | 40% | 2020-11-20 | Lost |
| 1154 | 972 | 74% | 2020-11-20 | Lost |
| 1021 | 944 | 61% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1013 | 67% | 2020-10-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 1066 | 43% | 2020-06-26 | Won |
| 961 | 1216 | 19% | 2020-06-19 | Lost |
| 1113 | 978 | 69% | 2020-06-05 | Won |
| 979 | 1340 | 11% | 2019-10-31 | Lost |
| 974 | 1010 | 45% | 2019-07-13 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1137 | 63% | 2019-05-04 | Won |
| 1109 | 1117 | 49% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
| 1206 | 978 | 79% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1051.9 vs 1050.5 has a 50.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).