Cub Cub Hills
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (16 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 16
Defender wins (Italian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1001 | 53% | 2025-02-22 | | Won |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2022-10-04 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1026 | 44% | 2022-07-09 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1045 | 46% | 2022-07-09 | | Won |
| 1134 | 962 | 73% | 2022-01-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2020-11-20 | | Lost |
| 1146 | 952 | 75% | 2020-11-20 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 981 | 61% | 2020-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 995 | 69% | 2020-10-24 | | Won |
| 954 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-06-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1216 | 22% | 2020-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-06-05 | | Won |
| 979 | 1219 | 20% | 2019-10-31 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1059 | 38% | 2019-07-13 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2019-05-04 | | Won |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2019-03-10 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1044 vs 1025.5 has a 52.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).