Armored Probe at Sidi-Nsir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (10 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 18
Defender wins (French): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 1028 | 48% | 2024-05-02 | Won |
| 1144 | 1242 | 36% | 2023-12-27 | Won |
| 907 | 869 | 55% | 2022-01-13 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1074 | 52% | 2021-01-13 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1024 | 58% | 2020-01-24 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1226 | 23% | 2019-12-10 | Won |
| 1206 | 1014 | 75% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2019-04-09 | Won |
| 1014 | 1113 | 36% | 2019-04-05 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1006 | 78% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1075.4 vs 1057.8 has a 52.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).