Armored Probe at Sidi-Nsir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 6
Defender wins (French): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2024-05-02 | | Won |
| 1181 | 1222 | 44% | 2023-12-27 | | Won |
| 972 | 1000 | 46% | 2022-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1078 | 43% | 2021-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1000 | 53% | 2020-01-24 | | Lost |
| 998 | 1226 | 21% | 2019-12-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2019-11-24 | | Won |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2019-04-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 2019-04-05 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2019-03-22 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1048.9 vs 1086.4 has a 44.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).