Armored Probe at Sidi-Nsir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (10 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 18
Defender wins (French): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 1018 | 49% | 2024-05-02 | Won |
| 1141 | 1256 | 34% | 2023-12-27 | Won |
| 927 | 869 | 58% | 2022-01-13 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1064 | 61% | 2021-01-13 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1024 | 58% | 2020-01-24 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1226 | 25% | 2019-12-10 | Won |
| 1196 | 902 | 84% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1057 | 982 | 61% | 2019-04-09 | Won |
| 902 | 1109 | 23% | 2019-04-05 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1020 | 77% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1071.8 vs 1047 has a 53.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).