Armored Probe at Sidi-Nsir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (10 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 16
Defender wins (French): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1022 | 48% | 2024-05-02 | Won |
| 1154 | 1268 | 34% | 2023-12-27 | Won |
| 998 | 869 | 68% | 2022-01-13 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2021-01-13 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1024 | 58% | 2020-01-24 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1226 | 26% | 2019-12-10 | Won |
| 1158 | 764 | 91% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1057 | 982 | 61% | 2019-04-09 | Won |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2019-04-05 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1048 | 74% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1055.8 vs 1041 has a 52.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).