The Red House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (7 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 41
Defender wins (German): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2022-03-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 935 | 59% | 2021-12-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2021-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2021-01-30 | | Won |
| 1172 | 932 | 80% | 2020-12-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 971 | 54% | 2020-08-08 | | Lost |
| 1070 | 937 | 68% | 2019-03-23 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1058 vs 1000.7 has a 58.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).