The Commissar's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (10 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2024-03-16 | | Lost |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2023-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2023-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 944 | 65% | 2023-05-11 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2022-02-16 | | Lost |
| 1128 | 1037 | 63% | 2021-06-06 | | Lost |
| 971 | 1000 | 46% | 2020-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-06-01 | | Lost |
| 937 | 1069 | 32% | 2019-05-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1202 | 24% | 2019-03-17 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1033.2 vs 1024.1 has a 51.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).