The Commissar's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 960 | 51% | 2024-03-16 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2023-06-30 | Lost |
| 982 | 982 | 50% | 2023-06-30 | Lost |
| 1010 | 935 | 61% | 2023-05-11 | Won |
| 1020 | 1182 | 28% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2022-02-16 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1064 | 62% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 971 | 937 | 55% | 2020-10-30 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1025 | 54% | 2019-06-01 | Lost |
| 877 | 1118 | 20% | 2019-05-21 | Won |
| 1018 | 1220 | 24% | 2019-03-17 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1012.5 vs 1047.9 has a 44.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).