The Playing Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (23 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 38
Defender wins (German): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 937 | 60% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 951 | 1093 | 31% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1149 | 860 | 84% | 2022-08-14 | Won |
| 1048 | 1043 | 51% | 2022-06-01 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1118 | 61% | 2022-05-09 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1173 | 50% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 1008 | 927 | 61% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
| 1215 | 1050 | 72% | 2021-02-21 | Won |
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1034 | 55% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
| 1087 | 1205 | 34% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1072 | 988 | 62% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1079 | 921 | 71% | 2020-04-18 | Won |
| 1004 | 933 | 60% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 902 | 883 | 53% | 2019-05-08 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1002 | 61% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 995 | 1024 | 46% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1110 | 1045 | 59% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1204 | 1108 | 63% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Won |
| 1000 | 1105 | 35% | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1072.9 vs 1017.1 has a 57.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).