The Playing Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (26 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 40
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | 2026-05-07 | Won |
| 1077 | 966 | 65% | 2025-12-13 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1127 | 52% | 2025-09-06 | Lost |
| 1015 | 872 | 69% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 988 | 1054 | 41% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1172 | 57% | 2022-08-14 | Won |
| 1048 | 969 | 61% | 2022-06-01 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1117 | 40% | 2022-05-09 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1172 | 50% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 1009 | 933 | 61% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
| 1215 | 1046 | 73% | 2021-02-21 | Won |
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1035 | 55% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
| 1087 | 1077 | 51% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1018 | 1019 | 50% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1052 | 934 | 66% | 2020-04-18 | Won |
| 1126 | 918 | 77% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 903 | 940 | 45% | 2019-05-08 | Lost |
| 977 | 1077 | 36% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
| 1143 | 991 | 71% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1276 | 1151 | 67% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Won |
| 1010 | 1091 | 39% | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1078.1 vs 1028.4 has a 57.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).