The Playing Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (25 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 38
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 952 | 76% | 2025-12-13 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1159 | 48% | 2025-09-06 | Lost |
| 1015 | 871 | 70% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 967 | 1077 | 35% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2022-08-14 | Won |
| 1048 | 984 | 59% | 2022-06-01 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1117 | 45% | 2022-05-09 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1172 | 50% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
| 1009 | 965 | 56% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
| 1215 | 969 | 80% | 2021-02-21 | Won |
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1035 | 55% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
| 1087 | 1151 | 41% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1018 | 1022 | 49% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1022 | 941 | 61% | 2020-04-18 | Won |
| 1172 | 918 | 81% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 903 | 940 | 45% | 2019-05-08 | Lost |
| 977 | 1033 | 42% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
| 1143 | 1005 | 69% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
| 1276 | 1110 | 72% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
| 1039 | 1036 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1078.4 vs 1015 has a 59.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).