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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (9 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (Polish): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1125 | 39% | 2026-06-21 | Won |
| 1046 | 1076 | 46% | 2026-06-21 | Won |
| 1434 | 1417 | 52% | 2024-07-11 | Won |
| 763 | 1077 | 14% | 2023-07-20 | Lost |
| 977 | 1079 | 36% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1174 | 47% | 2020-11-25 | Won |
| 1076 | 1048 | 54% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2019-06-19 | Lost |
| 958 | 1220 | 18% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1056.4 vs 1148.4 has a 37.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).