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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (7 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Polish): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1400 | 1397 | 50% | 2024-07-11 | Won |
| 801 | 1047 | 20% | 2023-07-20 | Lost |
| 953 | 1109 | 29% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1171 | 47% | 2020-11-25 | Won |
| 1104 | 1046 | 58% | 2020-11-20 | Won |
| 1045 | 1100 | 42% | 2019-06-19 | Lost |
| 961 | 1190 | 21% | 2019-04-20 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1059 vs 1151.4 has a 37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).