20 Years Later
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (16 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 14
Defender wins (German): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1051 | 55% | 2024-09-09 | Won |
| 965 | 917 | 57% | 2024-05-24 | Won |
| 1096 | 836 | 82% | 2023-08-02 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1158 | 46% | 2023-04-29 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1093 | 48% | 2022-01-26 | Won |
| 1373 | 1379 | 49% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1141 | 36% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1041 | 64% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1179 | 36% | 2020-03-31 | Won |
| 1100 | 1009 | 63% | 2020-01-22 | Won |
| 1082 | 1179 | 36% | 2020-01-14 | Tied |
| 1179 | 1082 | 64% | 2020-01-14 | Tied |
| 942 | 1199 | 19% | 2019-11-27 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1030 | 59% | 2019-10-19 | Lost |
| 836 | 1096 | 18% | 2019-08-04 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1199 | 49% | 2019-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1088.6 vs 1099.3 has a 48.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).