20 Years Later
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (18 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 8
Defender wins (German): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2025-03-22 | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1000 | 63% | 2024-09-09 | | Won |
| 991 | 1154 | 28% | 2024-05-24 | | Won |
| 1080 | 755 | 87% | 2023-08-02 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 1066 | 66% | 2023-04-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2022-01-26 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1329 | 19% | 2021-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1431 | 8% | 2021-01-29 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 1182 | 29% | 2020-04-23 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 1023 | 71% | 2020-04-23 | | Lost |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2020-03-31 | | Won |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2020-01-22 | | Won |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2020-01-14 | | Tied |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2020-01-14 | | Tied |
| 989 | 1234 | 20% | 2019-11-27 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2019-10-19 | | Lost |
| 755 | 1080 | 13% | 2019-08-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1234 | 21% | 2019-05-15 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1028.8 vs 1114.8 has a 37.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).