A Sideshow Affair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (10 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (Japanese): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1257 | 949 | 85% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 989 | 997 | 49% | 2021-07-03 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1110 | 36% | 2020-11-21 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1173 | 34% | 2020-09-05 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1228 | 34% | 2020-08-14 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1163 | 34% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
| 992 | 992 | 50% | 2020-04-17 | Won |
| 1049 | 985 | 59% | 2020-04-03 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1070 | 54% | 2020-03-04 | Won |
| 802 | 1017 | 22% | 2019-09-22 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1041.3 vs 1068.4 has a 46.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).