A Sideshow Affair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (9 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1025 | 994 | 54% | 2021-07-03 | Lost |
| 992 | 1106 | 34% | 2020-11-21 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1173 | 31% | 2020-09-05 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1224 | 35% | 2020-08-14 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1163 | 34% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
| 992 | 992 | 50% | 2020-04-17 | Won |
| 1054 | 984 | 60% | 2020-04-03 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1165 | 40% | 2020-03-04 | Won |
| 1032 | 1004 | 54% | 2019-09-22 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1043 vs 1089.4 has a 43.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).