Red Horse Recon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (20 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 40
Defender wins (German): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2025-04-12 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-02-26 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2020-01-30 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-01-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1028 | 989 | 56% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 962 | 55% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-11-22 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 813 | 1000 | 25% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 996.6 vs 1001.6 has a 49.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).