Red Horse Recon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (21 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-04-12 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1041 | 44% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1000 | 66% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 956 | 1000 | 44% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-02-26 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 957 | 56% | 2020-01-30 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-01-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1108 | 1108 | 50% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 967 | 1000 | 45% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 995 | 967 | 54% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-11-22 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 783 | 979 | 24% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1045 | 44% | 2019-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 998 vs 1004.6 has a 49.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).