Red Horse Recon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (21 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1122 | 1025 | 64% | 2025-04-12 | Won |
| 941 | 848 | 63% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 878 | 1127 | 19% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 937 | 1194 | 19% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1149 | 41% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1340 | 1071 | 82% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 924 | 1173 | 19% | 2021-02-26 | Lost |
| 924 | 1112 | 25% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1057 | 54% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1135 | 1002 | 68% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2020-01-30 | Won |
| 1050 | 1135 | 38% | 2020-01-28 | Won |
| 1113 | 1072 | 56% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1169 | 986 | 74% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1037 | 934 | 64% | 2019-11-22 | Won |
| 1100 | 1148 | 43% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 907 | 1022 | 34% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 1053 | 978 | 61% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1138 | 36% | 2019-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1052.6 vs 1068.2 has a 47.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).