Le Hérisson
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (12 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (French): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1033 | 1046 | 48% | 2024-10-27 | Lost |
| 1189 | 971 | 78% | 2024-10-22 | Lost |
| 1055 | 959 | 63% | 2023-08-26 | Lost |
| 968 | 1057 | 37% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 1266 | 1125 | 69% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1055 | 1059 | 49% | 2022-06-28 | Won |
| 1055 | 934 | 67% | 2022-02-11 | Lost |
| 934 | 1009 | 39% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 951 | 1009 | 42% | 2020-12-04 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2020-08-20 | Won |
| 993 | 917 | 61% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1021 | 49% | 2007-07-27 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1049.2 vs 1016.3 has a 54.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).