Le Hérisson
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (12 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (French): 23
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1033 | 1043 | 49% | 2024-10-27 | Lost |
| 1185 | 962 | 78% | 2024-10-22 | Lost |
| 1040 | 959 | 61% | 2023-08-26 | Lost |
| 970 | 1056 | 38% | 2023-05-09 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1127 | 68% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1040 | 1040 | 50% | 2022-06-28 | Won |
| 1040 | 934 | 65% | 2022-02-11 | Lost |
| 942 | 1028 | 38% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 987 | 946 | 56% | 2020-12-04 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2020-08-20 | Won |
| 927 | 920 | 51% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1021 | 49% | 2007-07-27 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1042.3 vs 1010.3 has a 54.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).