One-Eyed Jacques
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 123 (41 on the archive and 82 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 61
Defender wins (French): 62
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1006 | 989 | 52% | 2025-05-31 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1092 | 43% | 2024-11-13 | Lost |
| 927 | 1146 | 22% | 2024-07-20 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1099 | 39% | 2024-07-12 | Lost |
| 1061 | 878 | 74% | 2024-06-14 | Won |
| 1060 | 1070 | 49% | 2024-05-08 | Won |
| 1175 | 1070 | 65% | 2024-04-01 | Won |
| 949 | 937 | 52% | 2024-02-18 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1181 | 53% | 2023-02-09 | Lost |
| 947 | 1065 | 34% | 2022-05-22 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1123 | 49% | 2022-05-07 | Lost |
| 1016 | 984 | 55% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 885 | 1135 | 19% | 2021-07-26 | Won |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2021-06-21 | Lost |
| 952 | 1043 | 37% | 2021-05-29 | Won |
| 989 | 997 | 49% | 2021-05-28 | Won |
| 1047 | 1043 | 51% | 2021-05-21 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1142 | 35% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 1038 | 1051 | 48% | 2021-04-05 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1105 | 53% | 2021-03-06 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1169 | 46% | 2021-01-02 | Won |
| 1079 | 951 | 68% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1057 | 1193 | 31% | 2020-12-04 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1301 | 30% | 2020-11-27 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1060 | 49% | 2020-11-15 | Won |
| 1079 | 1210 | 32% | 2020-11-14 | Won |
| 1028 | 1108 | 39% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 985 | 1027 | 44% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
| 743 | 1254 | 5% | 2020-09-23 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1111 | 39% | 2020-08-27 | Won |
| 991 | 1152 | 28% | 2020-07-11 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1180 | 29% | 2020-04-30 | Won |
| 1110 | 1103 | 51% | 2020-04-20 | Won |
| 885 | 918 | 45% | 2020-04-19 | Won |
| 1145 | 937 | 77% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 1075 | 802 | 83% | 2020-03-08 | Won |
| 1172 | 1099 | 60% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2020-02-07 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1082 | 42% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1133 | 969 | 72% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1103 | 1014 | 63% | | Lost |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1041.9 vs 1067.2 has a 46.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).