Just an Illusion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (5 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Thai): 3
Defender wins (Vichy): 5
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Thai): 1
Defender wins (Vichy): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2024-11-03 | | Lost |
| 1085 | 966 | 66% | 2024-07-30 | A | Won |
| 1080 | 974 | 65% | 2023-10-08 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1284 | 29% | 2022-09-04 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2022-07-29 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1085 vs 1078.2 has a 50.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).