Ultimate Treachery
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (12 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 13
Defender wins (French): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1182 | 1015 | 72% | 2025-08-24 | Won |
| 1265 | 1269 | 49% | 2024-06-14 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2024-04-01 | Lost |
| 1194 | 1189 | 51% | 2022-08-04 | Lost |
| 1110 | 973 | 69% | 2021-05-03 | Won |
| 1020 | 1143 | 33% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 1214 | 1029 | 74% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1220 | 950 | 83% | 2020-05-03 | Won |
| 1008 | 1146 | 31% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 980 | 998 | 47% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1029 | 74% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 1214 | 1029 | 74% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1135.9 vs 1066.9 has a 59.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).