Ultimate Treachery
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (12 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 15
Defender wins (French): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1165 | 1015 | 70% | 2025-08-24 | Won |
| 1265 | 1210 | 58% | 2024-06-14 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1005 | 57% | 2024-04-01 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1181 | 53% | 2022-08-04 | Lost |
| 1102 | 927 | 73% | 2021-05-03 | Won |
| 1190 | 1109 | 61% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 1214 | 1029 | 74% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1013 | 80% | 2020-05-03 | Won |
| 1008 | 1142 | 32% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 979 | 927 | 57% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1029 | 74% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 1214 | 1029 | 74% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1155.2 vs 1051.3 has a 64.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).